Arizona Wildcats at Washington State Cougars — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 26 (Sat) · 11:30 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Arizona Wildcats 82%
Washington State Cougars 18%
Locked before start
Arizona Wildcats Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability 82% Hit Arizona Wildcats wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ 88% Washington State Cougars within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 40% Showing 3 of 20 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 3-1 vs 1-3 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1521 vs 1646
+5.9%p Points per game
22.3 vs 32.0
+4.0%p
Head to head Arizona Wildcats Washington State Cougars
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Darrius Clemons receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Daniel Blood receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tre Spivey receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Arizona Wildcats wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 32.0 vs 22.3 → expected margin 9.7 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
88% Arizona Wildcats wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 32.0 vs 22.3 → expected margin 9.7 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
80% Arizona Wildcats wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Arizona Wildcats wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Washington State Cougars within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Washington State Cougars within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Washington State Cougars within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Washington State Cougars within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 games4 Arizona Wildcats Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 1-3 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 34/25 Hit
82% Both total runs 54.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 54.5 Under· Totals Under Washington State Cougars Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1521 vs 1646 (50% blend)· Points per game 22.3 vs 32.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 24/35 Miss
18% player stat32 Darrius Clemons receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Daniel Blood receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tre Spivey receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Chris Hunter III receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tre Spivey 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Giovanni Richardson receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Branden Ganashamoorthy receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kirby Vorhees rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Caden Pinnick rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Caden Pinnick pass yds 179.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Kedrick Reescano rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Noah Fifita rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Darrius Clemons 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Noah Fifita pass yds 219.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Daniel Blood 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Giovanni Richardson 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Giovanni Richardson 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Daniel Blood 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Noah Fifita pass yds 219.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Darrius Clemons 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Caden Pinnick pass yds 179.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Kedrick Reescano rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Noah Fifita rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Caden Pinnick rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kirby Vorhees rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Branden Ganashamoorthy receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Giovanni Richardson receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Daniel Blood receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tre Spivey receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Chris Hunter III receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tre Spivey 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Darrius Clemons receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Washington State Cougars team runs 22.5 Over· Team Points Arizona Wildcats team runs 32.5 Over· Team Points Washington State Cougars Team pass yds 164.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Arizona Wildcats Team rush yds 144.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Washington State Cougars Team rush yds 134.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Arizona Wildcats Team pass yds 284.5 Over· Team Pass Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.