Army Black Knights at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 11:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Army Black Knights 67%
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 32%
Locked before start
Army Black Knights within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 77% Army Black Knights Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability 67% Army Black Knights within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 69% Showing 3 of 50 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 2-1 vs 1-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
37.7 vs 34.7
-3.0%p
Head to head Army Black Knights Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Stroman Bridges receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Eli Finley receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Cale Hellums rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Army Black Knights within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 3.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
77% Army Black Knights within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 3.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
69% Army Black Knights within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Army Black Knights within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ games4 Army Black Knights Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-1 vs 1-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
67% Both total runs 72.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 72.5 Under· Totals Under Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-2 vs 2-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 37.7 vs 34.7 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
32% player stat32 Stroman Bridges receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Eli Finley receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Cale Hellums rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Samari Howard receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Stratton Fuller receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Talyn Shettron receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jalen Mickens receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Trey Kukuk rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Andrew Burnette rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Samari Howard rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Blake Baker pass yds 139.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Cale Hellums pass yds 134.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jalen Mickens 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Samari Howard 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Stratton Fuller 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Eli Finley 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Eli Finley 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Stratton Fuller 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Samari Howard 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Jalen Mickens 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Cale Hellums pass yds 134.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Blake Baker pass yds 139.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Samari Howard rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Andrew Burnette rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Trey Kukuk rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jalen Mickens receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Talyn Shettron receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Cale Hellums rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Samari Howard receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Stratton Fuller receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Eli Finley receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Stroman Bridges receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs team runs 37.5 Over· Team Points Army Black Knights team runs 34.5 Over· Team Points Army Black Knights Team pass yds 79.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Team rush yds 134.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Team pass yds 194.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Army Black Knights Team rush yds 399.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.