Army Black Knights at Temple Owls — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 25 (Fri) · 8:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Army Black Knights 62%
Temple Owls 38%
Locked before start
Army Black Knights Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability 62% Hit Temple Owls within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 41% Stratton Fuller 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under 48% Showing 3 of 17 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 2-1 vs 1-3 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1336 vs 1524
+10.8%p Points per game
28.0 vs 34.7
+4.0%p
Head to head Army Black Knights Temple Owls
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Samari Howard receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Colin Chase 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Stratton Fuller receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Army Black Knights wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 34.7 vs 28.0 → expected margin 6.7 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
83% Army Black Knights wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 34.7 vs 28.0 → expected margin 6.7 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
75% Army Black Knights wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Army Black Knights wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Temple Owls within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Temple Owls within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Temple Owls within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Temple Owls within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 Samari Howard receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Colin Chase 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Stratton Fuller receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jayce Freeman receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Samuel Brown V rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Cale Hellums rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Colin Chase receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Samuel Brown V receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Cale Hellums pass yds 124.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Samari Howard rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Stroman Bridges receiving yds 22.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Keveun Mason rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Ajani Sheppard pass yds 129.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Samari Howard 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Stratton Fuller 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over JoJo Bermudez 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under JoJo Bermudez 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Stratton Fuller 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Samari Howard 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Ajani Sheppard pass yds 129.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Keveun Mason rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Cale Hellums pass yds 124.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Samari Howard rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Stroman Bridges receiving yds 22.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Colin Chase receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Samuel Brown V receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Samuel Brown V rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Cale Hellums rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jayce Freeman receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Colin Chase 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Stratton Fuller receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Samari Howard receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over games4 Army Black Knights Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-1 vs 1-3 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 21/18 Hit
62% Both total runs 62.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 62.5 Under· Totals Under Temple Owls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 2-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1336 vs 1524 (50% blend)· Points per game 28.0 vs 34.7 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 17/22 Miss
38% Team stats6 Army Black Knights team runs 34.5 Over· Team Points Temple Owls team runs 28.5 Over· Team Points Temple Owls Team rush yds 244.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Army Black Knights Team pass yds 84.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Temple Owls Team pass yds 144.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Army Black Knights Team rush yds 399.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.