Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 7:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Auburn Tigers 10%
Tennessee Volunteers 90%
Locked before start
Tennessee Volunteers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ 77% Mike Matthews receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under 61% Radarious Jackson receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under 62% Showing 3 of 50 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 3-1 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 40.0 vs 30.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
40.0 vs 30.0
+4.0%p
Head to head Auburn Tigers Tennessee Volunteers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Radarious Jackson receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mike Matthews receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under DeSean Bishop rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Tennessee Volunteers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 40.0 vs 30.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
90% Both total runs 70.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 70.5 Over· Totals Over Auburn Tigers Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 3-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
10% Winning margin8 Tennessee Volunteers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 40.0 vs 30.0 → expected margin 10.0 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
77% Tennessee Volunteers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 40.0 vs 30.0 → expected margin 10.0 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
68% Tennessee Volunteers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Tennessee Volunteers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Auburn Tigers within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Auburn Tigers within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Auburn Tigers within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Auburn Tigers within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 Radarious Jackson receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mike Matthews receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under DeSean Bishop rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chas Nimrod 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Keshaun Singleton 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Keshaun Singleton receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jeremiah Koger receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Chas Nimrod receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Daune Morris rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Braylon Staley receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Byrum Brown rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Byrum Brown pass yds 179.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jeremiah Cobb rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Faizon Brandon pass yds 189.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Mike Matthews 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Braylon Staley 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Mike Matthews 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Braylon Staley 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Faizon Brandon pass yds 189.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Byrum Brown pass yds 179.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jeremiah Cobb rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Byrum Brown rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Braylon Staley receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Daune Morris rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chas Nimrod receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Keshaun Singleton receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jeremiah Koger receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over DeSean Bishop rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chas Nimrod 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Keshaun Singleton 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Mike Matthews receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Radarious Jackson receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Tennessee Volunteers team runs 40.5 Over· Team Points Auburn Tigers team runs 30.5 Over· Team Points Tennessee Volunteers Team pass yds 209.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Auburn Tigers Team pass yds 204.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Tennessee Volunteers Team rush yds 264.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Auburn Tigers Team rush yds 184.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.