Central Michigan Chippewas at Miami Hurricanes — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 26 (Sat) · 10:30 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Central Michigan Chippewas 3%
Miami Hurricanes 97%
Locked before start
Miami Hurricanes wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ 99% Miami Hurricanes wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ 99% Miami Hurricanes wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ 99% Showing 3 of 25 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1962 vs 1224 (50% blend)· Points per game 51.8 vs 11.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1962 vs 1224
+29.3%p Points per game
51.8 vs 11.8
+4.0%p
Head to head Central Michigan Chippewas Miami Hurricanes
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Cooper Barkate receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Angel Flores rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Justin Ruffin Jr. receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Miami Hurricanes wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 51.8 vs 11.8 → expected margin 40.0 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
99% Miami Hurricanes wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 51.8 vs 11.8 → expected margin 40.0 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
99% Miami Hurricanes wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Miami Hurricanes wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Central Michigan Chippewas within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Central Michigan Chippewas within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Central Michigan Chippewas within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Central Michigan Chippewas within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 games4 Miami Hurricanes Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1962 vs 1224 (50% blend)· Points per game 51.8 vs 11.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 52/4 Hit
97% Both total runs 63.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 63.5 Under· Totals Under Central Michigan Chippewas Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 4-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 3/53 Miss
3% player stat32 Cooper Barkate receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Angel Flores rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Justin Ruffin Jr. receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Vaughn Blue receiving yds 22.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Joshua Moore receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Malachi Toney receiving yds 84.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jayden Clerveaux rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Langston Lewis receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Javian Mallory rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Mark Fletcher Jr. rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Langston Lewis 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Malachi Toney 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Darian Mensah pass yds 229.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Angel Flores pass yds 94.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Justin Ruffin Jr. 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Cooper Barkate 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Cooper Barkate 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Justin Ruffin Jr. 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Angel Flores pass yds 94.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Darian Mensah pass yds 229.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Malachi Toney 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Langston Lewis 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Mark Fletcher Jr. rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Javian Mallory rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Langston Lewis receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Malachi Toney receiving yds 84.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jayden Clerveaux rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Joshua Moore receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Cooper Barkate receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Angel Flores rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Justin Ruffin Jr. receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Vaughn Blue receiving yds 22.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Central Michigan Chippewas team runs 11.5 Over· Team Points Miami Hurricanes team runs 51.5 Over· Team Points Central Michigan Chippewas Team pass yds 59.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Miami Hurricanes Team pass yds 339.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Miami Hurricanes Team rush yds 254.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Central Michigan Chippewas Team rush yds 149.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.