Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Delaware Blue Hens — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 19 (Sat) · 3:30 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 34%
Delaware Blue Hens 66%
Locked before start
Delaware Blue Hens within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 82% Delaware Blue Hens Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability 66% Hit Delaware Blue Hens within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 74% Showing 3 of 18 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 2-1 vs 1-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1328 vs 1270 (50% blend)· Points per game 23.3 vs 25.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1328 vs 1270
+9.3%p
Head to head Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Delaware Blue Hens
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Da'Wain Lofton receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Colton Hinton receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jo Silver rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Delaware Blue Hens within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 1.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
82% Delaware Blue Hens within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 1.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
74% Delaware Blue Hens within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Delaware Blue Hens within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ games4 Delaware Blue Hens Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-1 vs 1-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1328 vs 1270 (50% blend)· Points per game 23.3 vs 25.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 22/15 Hit
66% Both total runs 48.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 48.5 Over· Totals Over Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-2 vs 2-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 14/23 Miss
34% player stat32 Da'Wain Lofton receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Colton Hinton receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jo Silver rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kaderris Roberts receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Clayton Coppock Jr. receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Bryson Graves receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tristian Gardner receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Da'Wain Lofton 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Kaderris Roberts rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jevon Edwards rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Clayton Coppock Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Dominic Lee-Knicely rush yds 34.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Nick Minicucci pass yds 174.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Deuce Bailey pass yds 249.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Karmello English 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Bryson Graves 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Bryson Graves 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Nick Minicucci pass yds 174.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Deuce Bailey pass yds 249.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Karmello English 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Dominic Lee-Knicely rush yds 34.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Clayton Coppock Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Jevon Edwards rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kaderris Roberts rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Da'Wain Lofton 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Bryson Graves receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tristian Gardner receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Clayton Coppock Jr. receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jo Silver rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kaderris Roberts receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Colton Hinton receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Da'Wain Lofton receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Delaware Blue Hens team runs 23.5 Over· Team Points Coastal Carolina Chanticleers team runs 25.5 Over· Team Points Delaware Blue Hens Team pass yds 229.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Delaware Blue Hens Team rush yds 109.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Team pass yds 294.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Team rush yds 114.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.