Duquesne Dukes at Washington State Cougars — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 19 (Sat) · 7:30 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Duquesne Dukes 43%
Washington State Cougars 57%
Locked before start
Washington State Cougars Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability 57% Hit Duquesne Dukes within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 86% Duquesne Dukes within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 77% Showing 3 of 22 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 1-2 vs 0-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 22.3 vs 18.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
22.3 vs 18.3
+4.0%p
Head to head Duquesne Dukes Washington State Cougars
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Darrius Clemons receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Daniel Blood receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Zae-Mear Correll receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Duquesne Dukes within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 4.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
86% Duquesne Dukes within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 4.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
77% Duquesne Dukes within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Duquesne Dukes within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Washington State Cougars wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Washington State Cougars wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Washington State Cougars wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Washington State Cougars wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Darrius Clemons receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Daniel Blood receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Zae-Mear Correll receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kirby Vorhees rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Branden Ganashamoorthy receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Ryan Petras receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Noah Canty 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Trey Graham receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Darrius Clemons 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Dazhaun Hopkins rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Ness Davis rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Caden Pinnick rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Caden Pinnick pass yds 154.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Daniel Blood 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Carson Camp pass yds 129.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Ryan Petras 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Ryan Petras 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Carson Camp pass yds 129.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Daniel Blood 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Caden Pinnick pass yds 154.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Caden Pinnick rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Ness Davis rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Darrius Clemons 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Dazhaun Hopkins rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Trey Graham receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Ryan Petras receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Noah Canty 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Branden Ganashamoorthy receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kirby Vorhees rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Daniel Blood receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Zae-Mear Correll receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Darrius Clemons receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over games4 Washington State Cougars Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-2 vs 0-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 22.3 vs 18.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 48/8 Hit
57% Both total runs 40.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 40.5 Under· Totals Under Duquesne Dukes Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-3 vs 1-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 7/49 Miss
43% Team stats6 Washington State Cougars team runs 22.5 Over· Team Points Duquesne Dukes team runs 18.5 Over· Team Points Washington State Cougars Team pass yds 139.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Washington State Cougars Team rush yds 169.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Duquesne Dukes Team rush yds 159.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Duquesne Dukes Team pass yds 109.5 Over· Team Pass Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.