Eastern Michigan Eagles at Massachusetts Minutemen — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 7:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Eastern Michigan Eagles 26%
Massachusetts Minutemen 74%
Locked before start
Massachusetts Minutemen Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability 74% Massachusetts Minutemen wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ 87% Massachusetts Minutemen wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ 80% Showing 3 of 50 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 4-0 vs 2-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 36.3 vs 19.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
36.3 vs 19.0
+4.0%p
Head to head Eastern Michigan Eagles Massachusetts Minutemen
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Amareon Blue rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jabari Lewis receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Curtis Kimmons IV rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Massachusetts Minutemen wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 36.3 vs 19.0 → expected margin 17.3 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
87% Massachusetts Minutemen wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 36.3 vs 19.0 → expected margin 17.3 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
80% Massachusetts Minutemen wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Massachusetts Minutemen wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Eastern Michigan Eagles within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Eastern Michigan Eagles within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Eastern Michigan Eagles within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Eastern Michigan Eagles within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 games4 Massachusetts Minutemen Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 4-0 vs 2-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 36.3 vs 19.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
74% Both total runs 55.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 55.5 Under· Totals Under Eastern Michigan Eagles Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-3 vs 4-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
26% player stat32 Amareon Blue rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jabari Lewis receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Curtis Kimmons IV rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Joseph Griffin Jr. receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Harold Mack receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Nick Devereaux receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Benson Prosper receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Elijah Faulkner rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under T.Y. Harding receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Noah Kim pass yds 179.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Braydon Bennett rush yds 34.5 Under· Rush Yds Under William Watson III pass yds 174.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Harold Mack 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under T.Y. Harding 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Joseph Griffin Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Benson Prosper 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Benson Prosper 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Joseph Griffin Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over T.Y. Harding 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Harold Mack 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over William Watson III pass yds 174.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Braydon Bennett rush yds 34.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Elijah Faulkner rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over T.Y. Harding receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Noah Kim pass yds 179.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Benson Prosper receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Joseph Griffin Jr. receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Harold Mack receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Nick Devereaux receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Curtis Kimmons IV rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jabari Lewis receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Amareon Blue rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Team stats6 Massachusetts Minutemen team runs 36.5 Over· Team Points Eastern Michigan Eagles team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points Eastern Michigan Eagles Team pass yds 184.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Massachusetts Minutemen Team pass yds 164.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Massachusetts Minutemen Team rush yds 219.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Eastern Michigan Eagles Team rush yds 84.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.