Eastern Michigan Eagles at Wisconsin Badgers — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 19 (Sat) · 4:30 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Eastern Michigan Eagles 20%
Wisconsin Badgers 80%
Locked before start
Wisconsin Badgers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability 80% Hit Wisconsin Badgers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ 57% Wisconsin Badgers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ 45% Showing 3 of 16 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 2-1 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1612 vs 1182 (50% blend)· Points per game 31.8 vs 19.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1612 vs 1182
+26.4%p Points per game
31.8 vs 19.0
+4.0%p
Head to head Eastern Michigan Eagles Wisconsin Badgers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Tyrell Henry receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Amareon Blue rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Benson Prosper receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Wisconsin Badgers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-1 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1612 vs 1182 (50% blend)· Points per game 31.8 vs 19.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 54/11 Hit
80% Both total runs 50.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 50.5 Under· Totals Under Eastern Michigan Eagles Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 2-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 10/55 Miss
20% Winning margin8 Eastern Michigan Eagles within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 12.8 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
74% Eastern Michigan Eagles within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 12.8 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
64% Wisconsin Badgers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Eastern Michigan Eagles within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Wisconsin Badgers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Eastern Michigan Eagles within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Wisconsin Badgers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Wisconsin Badgers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Tyrell Henry receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Amareon Blue rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Benson Prosper receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jacob Harris receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Harold Mack receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Darrion Dupree rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Tyrell Henry 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Abu Sama III rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chris Brooks Jr. receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Braydon Bennett rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Nick Devereaux receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Noah Kim pass yds 169.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Colton Joseph pass yds 229.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jacob Harris 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Benson Prosper 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Harold Mack 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Harold Mack 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Benson Prosper 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Colton Joseph pass yds 229.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jacob Harris 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Noah Kim pass yds 169.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Abu Sama III rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chris Brooks Jr. receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Braydon Bennett rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Nick Devereaux receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tyrell Henry 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Darrion Dupree rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Harold Mack receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jacob Harris receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tyrell Henry receiving yds 64.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Amareon Blue rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Benson Prosper receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Wisconsin Badgers team runs 31.5 Over· Team Points Eastern Michigan Eagles team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points Eastern Michigan Eagles Team rush yds 89.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Wisconsin Badgers Team pass yds 259.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Wisconsin Badgers Team rush yds 149.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Eastern Michigan Eagles Team pass yds 174.5 Over· Team Pass Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.