Florida International Panthers at Florida Atlantic Owls — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 19 (Sat) · 10:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Florida International Panthers 56%
Florida Atlantic Owls 44%
Locked before start
Florida Atlantic Owls wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ 64% Florida Atlantic Owls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability 44% Hit Florida Atlantic Owls wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ 53% Showing 3 of 18 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 1-2 vs 2-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
30.0 vs 18.0
-4.0%p CFBD strength index
1300 vs 1397
+3.6%p
Head to head Florida International Panthers Florida Atlantic Owls
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Easton Messer receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Maguire Anderson receiving yds 79.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Dominique Henry 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Florida International Panthers within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 12.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
66% Florida Atlantic Owls wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 30.0 vs 18.0 → expected margin 12.0 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
64% Florida International Panthers within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Florida Atlantic Owls wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Florida International Panthers within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Florida Atlantic Owls wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Florida International Panthers within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Florida Atlantic Owls wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Easton Messer receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Maguire Anderson receiving yds 79.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Dominique Henry 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Dominique Henry receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Branden Hoch receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jojo Stone receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Ethan Ervin rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Tyson Carter receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Anthony Carrie rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Devonte Lyons rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Maguire Anderson 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Leonard Farrow rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under JJ Kohl pass yds 254.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Drew Devillier pass yds 84.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Easton Messer 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Jojo Stone 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Jojo Stone 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Easton Messer 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Drew Devillier pass yds 84.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Leonard Farrow rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over JJ Kohl pass yds 254.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Maguire Anderson 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Devonte Lyons rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Anthony Carrie rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Ethan Ervin rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Tyson Carter receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jojo Stone receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Dominique Henry receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Branden Hoch receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Dominique Henry 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Easton Messer receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Maguire Anderson receiving yds 79.5 Over· Rec Yds Over games4 Florida International Panthers Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-2 vs 2-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 10/17 Miss
56% Both total runs 48.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 48.5 Over· Totals Over Florida Atlantic Owls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-1 vs 1-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1300 vs 1397 (50% blend)· Points per game 30.0 vs 18.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 16/11 Hit
44% Team stats6 Florida Atlantic Owls team runs 30.5 Over· Team Points Florida International Panthers team runs 18.5 Over· Team Points Florida International Panthers Team pass yds 329.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Florida Atlantic Owls Team pass yds 264.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Florida Atlantic Owls Team rush yds 99.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Florida International Panthers Team rush yds 139.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.