Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Stanford Cardinal — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 27 (Sun) · 2:30 AM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 44%
Stanford Cardinal 56%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-2 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1333 vs 1493 (50% blend)· Points per game 21.0 vs 27.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1333 vs 1493
-8.7%p Points per game
21.0 vs 27.0
-4.0%p
Head to head Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Stanford Cardinal
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under 64%
Model probability
View model reasoning season 4games 256yds (per game 64.0)· sample 얇아 선별된 동일 카테고리 avg 쪽으로 adjusted → 54.1· opponent defense matchup ×0.88 → expected 47.6 basis log정규(shifts계수 0.62)
WR sample adjusted (games 수 적음) Zion Robinson receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kevin Roche Jr. receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Stanford Cardinal within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 6.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
73% Stanford Cardinal within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Stanford Cardinal within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Stanford Cardinal within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 CH Caden High receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Low
season 4games 256yds (per game 64.0)· sample 얇아 선별된 동일 카테고리 avg 쪽으로 adjusted → 54.1· opponent defense matchup ×0.88 → expected 47.6 basis log정규(shifts계수 0.62)
64% Zion Robinson receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kevin Roche Jr. receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Sedrick Irvin rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Dalen Penson receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Benji Blackburn receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jordan Allen receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Justice Haynes rush yds 84.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Micah Ford rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Trelain Maddox rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Caden High 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Benji Blackburn 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Michael Mitchell Jr. pass yds 84.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Alberto Mendoza pass yds 239.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jordan Allen 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Kevin Roche Jr. 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Jordan Allen 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Kevin Roche Jr. 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Alberto Mendoza pass yds 239.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Michael Mitchell Jr. pass yds 84.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Benji Blackburn 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Caden High 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Micah Ford rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Trelain Maddox rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Justice Haynes rush yds 84.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Benji Blackburn receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jordan Allen receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Sedrick Irvin rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dalen Penson receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Zion Robinson receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kevin Roche Jr. receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Caden High receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over games4 Stanford Cardinal Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1333 vs 1493 (50% blend)· Points per game 21.0 vs 27.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 34/28 Hit
56% Both total runs 48.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 48.5 Over· Totals Over Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 27/35 Miss
44% Team stats6 Stanford Cardinal team runs 21.5 Over· Team Points Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets team runs 27.5 Over· Team Points Stanford Cardinal Team pass yds 239.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Stanford Cardinal Team rush yds 109.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Team rush yds 139.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Team pass yds 274.5 Over· Team Pass Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.