Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Wyoming Cowboys — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 26 (Sat) · 7:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 34%
Wyoming Cowboys 66%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-2 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1322 vs 1378 (50% blend)· Points per game 17.8 vs 18.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Head to head Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Wyoming Cowboys
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
DeVon Rice 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Blaze Kamoku receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Eric Richardson receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Wyoming Cowboys within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 0.2 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
88% Wyoming Cowboys within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 0.2 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
80% Wyoming Cowboys within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Wyoming Cowboys within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ games4 Wyoming Cowboys Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1322 vs 1378 (50% blend)· Points per game 17.8 vs 18.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 27/11 Hit
66% Both total runs 35.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 35.5 Under· Totals Under Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 10/28 Miss
34% player stat32 DeVon Rice 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Blaze Kamoku receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Eric Richardson receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Samuel Harris 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Charlie Coenen receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under DeVon Rice rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Audric Harris receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Markell Holman rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Samuel Harris rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kyle Frendt receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Sitani Mikaele rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kainoa Carvalho receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tyler Hughes pass yds 174.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Micah Alejado pass yds 194.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Kyle Frendt 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Kainoa Carvalho 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Kainoa Carvalho 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Kyle Frendt 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Tyler Hughes pass yds 174.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Micah Alejado pass yds 194.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Kainoa Carvalho receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Samuel Harris rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kyle Frendt receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Sitani Mikaele rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Markell Holman rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Charlie Coenen receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over DeVon Rice rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Audric Harris receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Eric Richardson receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Samuel Harris 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Blaze Kamoku receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over DeVon Rice 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Team stats6 Wyoming Cowboys team runs 17.5 Over· Team Points Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors team runs 18.5 Over· Team Points Wyoming Cowboys Team pass yds 164.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Team pass yds 224.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Wyoming Cowboys Team rush yds 179.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Team rush yds 94.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.