Howard Bison at Rutgers Scarlet Knights — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 25 (Fri) · 11:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Howard Bison 96%
Rutgers Scarlet Knights 4%
Locked before start
Rutgers Scarlet Knights wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ 51% Rutgers Scarlet Knights wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ 38% Rutgers Scarlet Knights wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ 29% Showing 3 of 18 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 1-3 vs 1-3 — away adjustment applied· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
33.8 vs 14.8
-4.0%p
Head to head Howard Bison Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Zaden Jackson 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Se'Quan Osborne receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under KJ Duff receiving yds 99.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Howard Bison Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 1-3 — away adjustment applied· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 7/59 Miss
96% Both total runs 48.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 48.5 Under· Totals Under Rutgers Scarlet Knights Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 33.8 vs 14.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 58/8 Hit
4% Winning margin8 Howard Bison within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 19.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
80% Howard Bison within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 19.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
71% Howard Bison within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Rutgers Scarlet Knights wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Howard Bison within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Rutgers Scarlet Knights wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Rutgers Scarlet Knights wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Rutgers Scarlet Knights wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Zaden Jackson 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Se'Quan Osborne receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under KJ Duff receiving yds 99.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jourdin Houston receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Antonio Hunter receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Zaden Jackson receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Aiden Gibson rush yds 34.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Dylan Lonergan rush yds 32.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Ben Black III receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Dylan Lonergan pass yds 189.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Eden James rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Travis Kerney rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass yds 124.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Nathanial Clark 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Jourdin Houston 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under KJ Duff 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under KJ Duff 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Jourdin Houston 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Nathanial Clark 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass yds 124.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Travis Kerney rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dylan Lonergan pass yds 189.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Eden James rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Aiden Gibson rush yds 34.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dylan Lonergan rush yds 32.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Ben Black III receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Antonio Hunter receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Zaden Jackson receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jourdin Houston receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over KJ Duff receiving yds 99.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Se'Quan Osborne receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Zaden Jackson 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Team stats6 Howard Bison team runs 14.5 Over· Team Points Rutgers Scarlet Knights team runs 33.5 Over· Team Points Howard Bison Team pass yds 114.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Rutgers Scarlet Knights Team pass yds 309.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Rutgers Scarlet Knights Team rush yds 169.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Howard Bison Team rush yds 109.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.