Kent State Golden Flashes at Ohio State Buckeyes — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 19 (Sat) · 4:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Kent State Golden Flashes 4%
Ohio State Buckeyes 95%
Locked before start
Brandon Inniss receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under 63% Bo Jackson rush yds 69.5 Under· Rush Yds Under 59% Bo Jackson rush yds 69.5 Over· Rush Yds Over 41% Showing 3 of 4 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 2-1 vs 1-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 2044 vs 1039 (50% blend)· Points per game 45.0 vs 16.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
2044 vs 1039
+29.9%p Points per game
45.0 vs 16.3
+4.0%p
Head to head Kent State Golden Flashes Ohio State Buckeyes
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Devin McCuin receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Brandon Inniss receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Wayne Harris 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Ohio State Buckeyes wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 45.0 vs 16.3 → expected margin 28.7 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
95% Ohio State Buckeyes wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 45.0 vs 16.3 → expected margin 28.7 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
91% Ohio State Buckeyes wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Ohio State Buckeyes wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Kent State Golden Flashes within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Kent State Golden Flashes within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Kent State Golden Flashes within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Kent State Golden Flashes within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 games4 Ohio State Buckeyes Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-1 vs 1-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 2044 vs 1039 (50% blend)· Points per game 45.0 vs 16.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 59/4 Hit
95% Both total runs 61.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 61.5 Under· Totals Under Kent State Golden Flashes Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-2 vs 2-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 3/60 Miss
4% player stat32 Devin McCuin receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Brandon Inniss receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Wayne Harris 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Da'Realyst Clark 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Dru DeShields rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Da'Realyst Clark receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Ja'Kobi Jackson rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jeremiah Smith receiving yds 109.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mason King rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Wayne Harris receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Bo Jackson rush yds 69.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Ardell Banks receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Julian Sayin pass yds 274.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Devin McCuin 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Dru DeShields pass yds 139.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jeremiah Smith 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Jeremiah Smith 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Devin McCuin 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Dru DeShields pass yds 139.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Julian Sayin pass yds 274.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Ardell Banks receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Bo Jackson rush yds 69.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jeremiah Smith receiving yds 109.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Mason King rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Wayne Harris receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Ja'Kobi Jackson rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dru DeShields rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Da'Realyst Clark receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Brandon Inniss receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Wayne Harris 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Da'Realyst Clark 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Devin McCuin receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Kent State Golden Flashes team runs 16.5 Over· Team Points Ohio State Buckeyes team runs 45.5 Over· Team Points Ohio State Buckeyes Team pass yds 409.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Kent State Golden Flashes Team pass yds 129.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Kent State Golden Flashes Team rush yds 129.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Ohio State Buckeyes Team rush yds 174.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
Free forever. By subscribing you consent to receive the daily probability email; unsubscribe any time from the link in every email.Privacy notice
Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.