Kentucky Wildcats at South Carolina Gamecocks — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 8:15 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Kentucky Wildcats 71%
South Carolina Gamecocks 29%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 3-1 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
38.5 vs 34.5
-4.0%p
Head to head Kentucky Wildcats South Carolina Gamecocks
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Donovan Murph receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Willie Rodriguez 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under CJ Baxter rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Kentucky Wildcats within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 4.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
75% Kentucky Wildcats within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 4.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
66% Kentucky Wildcats within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 South Carolina Gamecocks wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Kentucky Wildcats within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 South Carolina Gamecocks wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ South Carolina Gamecocks wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ South Carolina Gamecocks wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ games4 Kentucky Wildcats Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
71% Both total runs 73.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 73.5 Over· Totals Over South Carolina Gamecocks Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 38.5 vs 34.5 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
29% player stat32 Donovan Murph receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Willie Rodriguez 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under CJ Baxter rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Willie Rodriguez receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Matt Fuller rush yds 79.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Nyck Harbor receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Matt Fuller receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jason Patterson rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kenny Darby receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Henry Boyer receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under LaNorris Sellers rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Nyck Harbor 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under LaNorris Sellers pass yds 204.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Kenny Minchey pass yds 199.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Kenny Darby 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Matt Fuller 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Matt Fuller 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over LaNorris Sellers pass yds 204.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Kenny Minchey pass yds 199.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Kenny Darby 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Nyck Harbor 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over LaNorris Sellers rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Henry Boyer receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Matt Fuller rush yds 79.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Nyck Harbor receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Matt Fuller receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jason Patterson rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kenny Darby receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over CJ Baxter rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Willie Rodriguez receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Donovan Murph receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Willie Rodriguez 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Team stats6 South Carolina Gamecocks team runs 38.5 Over· Team Points Kentucky Wildcats team runs 34.5 Over· Team Points South Carolina Gamecocks Team pass yds 249.5 Over· Team Pass Yds South Carolina Gamecocks Team rush yds 274.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Kentucky Wildcats Team pass yds 219.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Kentucky Wildcats Team rush yds 179.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.