Lindenwood Lions at Eastern Michigan Eagles — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 26 (Sat) · 5:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Lindenwood Lions 25%
Eastern Michigan Eagles 75%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-3 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 19.0 vs 17.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
19.0 vs 17.3
+1.7%p
Head to head Lindenwood Lions Eastern Michigan Eagles
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Harold Mack receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Drew Krobath receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Benson Prosper receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Lindenwood Lions within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 1.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
85% Lindenwood Lions within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 1.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
76% Lindenwood Lions within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Lindenwood Lions within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Eastern Michigan Eagles wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Eastern Michigan Eagles wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Eastern Michigan Eagles wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Eastern Michigan Eagles wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ games4 Eastern Michigan Eagles Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-3 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 19.0 vs 17.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 29/4 Hit
75% Both total runs 36.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 36.5 Over· Totals Over Lindenwood Lions Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 2-3 — away adjustment applied· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 3/30 Miss
25% player stat32 Harold Mack receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Drew Krobath receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Benson Prosper receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Nick Devereaux receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Elijah Roy receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Braydon Bennett rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jared Rhodes rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Pops Battle rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jalen Smith receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jalen Smith 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Amareon Blue rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Noah Kim pass yds 214.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Harold Mack 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Elijah Roy 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Pops Battle pass yds 159.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Benson Prosper 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Benson Prosper 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Pops Battle pass yds 159.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Noah Kim pass yds 214.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Harold Mack 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Elijah Roy 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Amareon Blue rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jalen Smith receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jalen Smith 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Braydon Bennett rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jared Rhodes rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Pops Battle rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Elijah Roy receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Benson Prosper receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Nick Devereaux receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Harold Mack receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Drew Krobath receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Lindenwood Lions team runs 17.5 Over· Team Points Eastern Michigan Eagles team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points Eastern Michigan Eagles Team rush yds 104.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Eastern Michigan Eagles Team pass yds 219.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Lindenwood Lions Team pass yds 134.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Lindenwood Lions Team rush yds 159.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.