Louisville Cardinals at NC State Wolfpack — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 7:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Louisville Cardinals 49%
NC State Wolfpack 51%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 38.3 vs 41.3 (capped at ±4%p)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
38.3 vs 41.3
-3.0%p
Head to head Louisville Cardinals NC State Wolfpack
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Keenan Jackson receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tre Richardson receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jayden Scott rush yds 79.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 NC State Wolfpack within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 3.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
77% NC State Wolfpack within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 3.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
69% NC State Wolfpack within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 NC State Wolfpack within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Louisville Cardinals wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Louisville Cardinals wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Louisville Cardinals wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Louisville Cardinals wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Keenan Jackson receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tre Richardson receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jayden Scott rush yds 79.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Isaac Brown rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jaleel Skinner receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tre Richardson 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Lawayne McCoy receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Davion Gause receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Keyjuan Brown rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Preston Douglas receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Lincoln Kienholz pass yds 219.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Davion Gause rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under CJ Bailey pass yds 219.5 Under· Pass Yds Under TreyShun Hurry 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Preston Douglas 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Keenan Jackson 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Keenan Jackson 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Preston Douglas 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under CJ Bailey pass yds 219.5 Over· Pass Yds Over TreyShun Hurry 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Davion Gause rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Lincoln Kienholz pass yds 219.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Preston Douglas receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Davion Gause receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Keyjuan Brown rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Lawayne McCoy receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jayden Scott rush yds 79.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Isaac Brown rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jaleel Skinner receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tre Richardson 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Keenan Jackson receiving yds 64.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tre Richardson receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over games4 NC State Wolfpack Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 38.3 vs 41.3 (capped at ±4%p)
51% Both total runs 79.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 79.5 Under· Totals Under Louisville Cardinals Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied
49% Team stats6 NC State Wolfpack team runs 38.5 Over· Team Points Louisville Cardinals team runs 41.5 Over· Team Points NC State Wolfpack Team pass yds 249.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Louisville Cardinals Team pass yds 274.5 Over· Team Pass Yds NC State Wolfpack Team rush yds 244.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Louisville Cardinals Team rush yds 199.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.