Maine Black Bears at Boston College Eagles — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 19 (Sat) · 6:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Maine Black Bears 5%
Boston College Eagles 95%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-1 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 19.8 vs 14.2 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
19.8 vs 14.2
+4.0%p
Head to head Maine Black Bears Boston College Eagles
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Evan Wallace receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Johnathan Montague Jr. receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Dawson Pough receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Boston College Eagles Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-1 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 19.8 vs 14.2 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 22/17 Hit
95% Both total runs 34.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 34.5 Over· Totals Over Maine Black Bears Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 2-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 16/23 Miss
5% Winning margin8 Maine Black Bears within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 5.6 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
77% Maine Black Bears within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 5.6 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
66% Boston College Eagles wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Maine Black Bears within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Boston College Eagles wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Maine Black Bears within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Boston College Eagles wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Boston College Eagles wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Evan Wallace receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Johnathan Montague Jr. receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Evan Wallace 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Dawson Pough receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Javarius Green receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Malik McNeely receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Evan Dickens rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Mason McKenzie rush yds 79.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Nick Laughlin receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Nick Laughlin rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Nick Laughlin 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Eddie Buehler pass yds 154.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Rashawn Marshall rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Mason McKenzie pass yds 184.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Javarius Green 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Evan Dickens 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Evan Dickens 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Mason McKenzie pass yds 184.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Javarius Green 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Eddie Buehler pass yds 154.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Rashawn Marshall rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Nick Laughlin rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Nick Laughlin 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Mason McKenzie rush yds 79.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Nick Laughlin receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Evan Dickens rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dawson Pough receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Javarius Green receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Malik McNeely receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Johnathan Montague Jr. receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Evan Wallace 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Evan Wallace receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Boston College Eagles team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points Maine Black Bears team runs 14.5 Over· Team Points Maine Black Bears Team pass yds 154.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Boston College Eagles Team pass yds 184.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Boston College Eagles Team rush yds 179.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Maine Black Bears Team rush yds 104.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.