Maryland Terrapins at Nebraska Cornhuskers — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 8:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Maryland Terrapins 3%
Nebraska Cornhuskers 97%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 42.5 vs 32.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
42.5 vs 32.3
+4.0%p
Head to head Maryland Terrapins Nebraska Cornhuskers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under 62%
Model probability
View model reasoning season 4games 222yds (per game 55.5)· sample 얇아 선별된 동일 카테고리 avg 쪽으로 adjusted → 49.9· opponent defense matchup ×0.88 → expected 43.9 basis log정규(shifts계수 0.62)
WR sample adjusted (games 수 적음) Iverson Howard rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chris Durr Jr. receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Nebraska Cornhuskers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 42.5 vs 32.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 74.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 74.5 Under· Totals Under Maryland Terrapins Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 4-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Winning margin8 Nebraska Cornhuskers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 42.5 vs 32.3 → expected margin 10.2 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
67% Maryland Terrapins within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Nebraska Cornhuskers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Maryland Terrapins within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Nebraska Cornhuskers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Maryland Terrapins within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Nebraska Cornhuskers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Maryland Terrapins within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 JJ Jacory Barney Jr. receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Low
season 4games 222yds (per game 55.5)· sample 얇아 선별된 동일 카테고리 avg 쪽으로 adjusted → 49.9· opponent defense matchup ×0.88 → expected 43.9 basis log정규(shifts계수 0.62)
62% Iverson Howard rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chris Durr Jr. receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kaleb Webb receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jamal Rule rush yds 69.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kwazi Gilmer receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mekhi Nelson receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mekhi Nelson rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jacory Barney Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Malik Washington pass yds 194.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Harry Dalton III rush yds 34.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Anthony Colandrea pass yds 179.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Chris Durr Jr. 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Kwazi Gilmer 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Kwazi Gilmer 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Chris Durr Jr. 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Anthony Colandrea pass yds 179.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Malik Washington pass yds 194.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Harry Dalton III rush yds 34.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Mekhi Nelson rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jacory Barney Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Mekhi Nelson receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jamal Rule rush yds 69.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kwazi Gilmer receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kaleb Webb receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jacory Barney Jr. receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Iverson Howard rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chris Durr Jr. receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Nebraska Cornhuskers team runs 42.5 Over· Team Points Maryland Terrapins team runs 32.5 Over· Team Points Nebraska Cornhuskers Team pass yds 214.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Nebraska Cornhuskers Team rush yds 239.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Maryland Terrapins Team pass yds 249.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Maryland Terrapins Team rush yds 129.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.