Miami Hurricanes at Clemson Tigers — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 11:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Miami Hurricanes 97%
Clemson Tigers 3%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 4-0 vs 3-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
21.0 vs 51.8
+4.0%p
Head to head Miami Hurricanes Clemson Tigers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Tyler Brown receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Joshua Moore receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Malachi Toney receiving yds 89.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Miami Hurricanes Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 4-0 vs 3-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 72.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 72.5 Under· Totals Under Clemson Tigers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 4-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 21.0 vs 51.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Winning margin8 Miami Hurricanes wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 51.8 vs 21.0 → expected margin 30.8 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
96% Miami Hurricanes wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 51.8 vs 21.0 → expected margin 30.8 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
93% Miami Hurricanes wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Miami Hurricanes wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Clemson Tigers within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Clemson Tigers within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Clemson Tigers within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Clemson Tigers within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 Tyler Brown receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Joshua Moore receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Malachi Toney receiving yds 89.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tait Reynolds rush yds 32.5 Under· Rush Yds Under T.J. Moore receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Cooper Barkate receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Olsen Patt-Henry receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tait Reynolds pass yds 139.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Gideon Davidson rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Javian Mallory rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Mark Fletcher Jr. rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Darian Mensah pass yds 234.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Cooper Barkate 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under T.J. Moore 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Tyler Brown 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Malachi Toney 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Tyler Brown 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Malachi Toney 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under T.J. Moore 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Darian Mensah pass yds 234.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Cooper Barkate 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Mark Fletcher Jr. rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Tait Reynolds pass yds 139.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Gideon Davidson rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Javian Mallory rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Olsen Patt-Henry receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tait Reynolds rush yds 32.5 Over· Rush Yds Over T.J. Moore receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Cooper Barkate receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Malachi Toney receiving yds 89.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Joshua Moore receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tyler Brown receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Miami Hurricanes team runs 51.5 Over· Team Points Clemson Tigers team runs 21.5 Over· Team Points Clemson Tigers Team pass yds 134.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Miami Hurricanes Team pass yds 349.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Clemson Tigers Team rush yds 139.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Miami Hurricanes Team rush yds 254.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.