Miami Hurricanes at Wake Forest Demon Deacons — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 18 (Fri) · 11:30 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Miami Hurricanes 72%
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 28%
Locked before start
Miami Hurricanes Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability 72% Hit Miami Hurricanes wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ 90% Miami Hurricanes wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ 84% Showing 3 of 12 locked markets
Behind the probability season record 3-0 vs 2-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1530 vs 1962
+23.7%p Points per game
31.5 vs 51.8
+4.0%p
Head to head Miami Hurricanes Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Antonio Meeks receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jack Foley receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kam Shanks 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Miami Hurricanes wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 51.8 vs 31.5 → expected margin 20.3 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
90% Miami Hurricanes wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 51.8 vs 31.5 → expected margin 20.3 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
84% Miami Hurricanes wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Miami Hurricanes wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Wake Forest Demon Deacons within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Wake Forest Demon Deacons within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Wake Forest Demon Deacons within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Wake Forest Demon Deacons within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 games4 Miami Hurricanes Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-0 vs 2-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 33/21 Hit
72% Both total runs 83.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 83.5 Under· Totals Under Wake Forest Demon Deacons Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-1 vs 3-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1530 vs 1962 (50% blend)· Points per game 31.5 vs 51.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 20/34 Miss
28% player stat32 Antonio Meeks receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jack Foley receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kam Shanks 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Malachi Toney receiving yds 109.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Ty Clark III rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Deuce Lawrence rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Carlos Hernandez receiving yds 79.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Cooper Barkate receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Joshua Moore receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mark Fletcher Jr. rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Javian Mallory rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Gio Lopez pass yds 209.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Carlos Hernandez 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Darian Mensah pass yds 279.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Malachi Toney 리셉션 7.5 Under· Receptions Under Cooper Barkate 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Cooper Barkate 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Malachi Toney 리셉션 7.5 Over· Receptions Over Gio Lopez pass yds 209.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Carlos Hernandez 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Darian Mensah pass yds 279.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Mark Fletcher Jr. rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Javian Mallory rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Cooper Barkate receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Joshua Moore receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Ty Clark III rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Deuce Lawrence rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Carlos Hernandez receiving yds 79.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jack Foley receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kam Shanks 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Malachi Toney receiving yds 109.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Antonio Meeks receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Miami Hurricanes team runs 51.5 Over· Team Points Wake Forest Demon Deacons team runs 31.5 Over· Team Points Wake Forest Demon Deacons Team pass yds 244.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Miami Hurricanes Team pass yds 404.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Wake Forest Demon Deacons Team rush yds 129.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Miami Hurricanes Team rush yds 249.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
Free forever. By subscribing you consent to receive the daily probability email; unsubscribe any time from the link in every email.Privacy notice
Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.