Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Kansas Jayhawks — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 4:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 61%
Kansas Jayhawks 39%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-2 vs 1-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
29.7 vs 26.0
-3.7%p
Head to head Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Kansas Jayhawks
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Dylan Edwards 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Cam'ron Lacy receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Markus Allen receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 3.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
76% Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 3.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
67% Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Kansas Jayhawks wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Kansas Jayhawks wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Kansas Jayhawks wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Kansas Jayhawks wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Dylan Edwards 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Cam'ron Lacy receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Markus Allen receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Isaiah Marshall rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Nik McMillan receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Nahzae Cox receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tate Nagy receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Antonio Martin rush yds 69.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Neo Clifton receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Dylan Edwards rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Nik McMillan 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Terrence Brown rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Isaiah Marshall pass yds 174.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Markus Allen 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Roman Gagliano pass yds 169.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Cam'ron Lacy 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Cam'ron Lacy 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Roman Gagliano pass yds 169.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Markus Allen 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Isaiah Marshall pass yds 174.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Nik McMillan 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Terrence Brown rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dylan Edwards rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Isaiah Marshall rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Nik McMillan receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Nahzae Cox receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tate Nagy receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Antonio Martin rush yds 69.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Neo Clifton receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Markus Allen receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Cam'ron Lacy receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Dylan Edwards 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over games4 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 1-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
61% Both total runs 55.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 55.5 Under· Totals Under Kansas Jayhawks Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-2 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 29.7 vs 26.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
39% Team stats6 Kansas Jayhawks team runs 29.5 Over· Team Points Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders team runs 26.5 Over· Team Points Kansas Jayhawks Team pass yds 219.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Kansas Jayhawks Team rush yds 199.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Team pass yds 184.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Team rush yds 139.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.