North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Nebraska Cornhuskers — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 19 (Sat) · 11:15 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate North Dakota Fighting Hawks 3%
Nebraska Cornhuskers 97%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 3-0 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 42.5 vs 40.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
42.5 vs 40.0
+2.5%p
Head to head North Dakota Fighting Hawks Nebraska Cornhuskers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Mekhi Nelson receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jacory Barney Jr. 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Deng Deng receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Nebraska Cornhuskers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-0 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 42.5 vs 40.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 34/8 Hit
97% Both total runs 82.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 82.5 Under· Totals Under North Dakota Fighting Hawks Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 3-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 7/35 Miss
3% Winning margin8 North Dakota Fighting Hawks within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 2.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
78% North Dakota Fighting Hawks within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 2.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
70% North Dakota Fighting Hawks within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 North Dakota Fighting Hawks within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Nebraska Cornhuskers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Nebraska Cornhuskers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Nebraska Cornhuskers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Nebraska Cornhuskers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Mekhi Nelson receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jacory Barney Jr. 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Deng Deng receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kwazi Gilmer receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Caleb Goodloe receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Korey Tai receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jamal Rule rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jacory Barney Jr. receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Charles Langama rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Matt Lawson rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kwazi Gilmer 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Anthony Colandrea pass yds 214.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jerry Kaminski pass yds 199.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Mekhi Nelson rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Korey Tai 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Deng Deng 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Korey Tai 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Deng Deng 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Mekhi Nelson rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jerry Kaminski pass yds 199.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Anthony Colandrea pass yds 214.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Kwazi Gilmer 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Jamal Rule rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jacory Barney Jr. receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Charles Langama rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Matt Lawson rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Korey Tai receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Caleb Goodloe receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kwazi Gilmer receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Mekhi Nelson receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jacory Barney Jr. 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Deng Deng receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Nebraska Cornhuskers team runs 42.5 Over· Team Points North Dakota Fighting Hawks team runs 40.5 Over· Team Points Nebraska Cornhuskers Team rush yds 224.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Nebraska Cornhuskers Team pass yds 254.5 Over· Team Pass Yds North Dakota Fighting Hawks Team pass yds 239.5 Over· Team Pass Yds North Dakota Fighting Hawks Team rush yds 174.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.