Northern Illinois Huskies at Arizona Wildcats — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 20 (Sun) · 2:30 AM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Northern Illinois Huskies 3%
Arizona Wildcats 97%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-1 vs 0-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1646 vs 1194 (50% blend)· Points per game 32.0 vs 13.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1646 vs 1194
+26.8%p Points per game
32.0 vs 13.8
+4.0%p
Head to head Northern Illinois Huskies Arizona Wildcats
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Cam Thompson receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tre Spivey receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Giovanni Richardson receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Arizona Wildcats Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-1 vs 0-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1646 vs 1194 (50% blend)· Points per game 32.0 vs 13.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 42/18 Hit
97% Both total runs 45.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 45.5 Under· Totals Under Northern Illinois Huskies Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 0-3 vs 2-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 17/43 Miss
3% Winning margin8 Arizona Wildcats wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 32.0 vs 13.8 → expected margin 18.2 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
86% Arizona Wildcats wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 32.0 vs 13.8 → expected margin 18.2 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
78% Arizona Wildcats wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Arizona Wildcats wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Northern Illinois Huskies within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Northern Illinois Huskies within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Northern Illinois Huskies within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Northern Illinois Huskies within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 Cam Thompson receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tre Spivey receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Giovanni Richardson receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Elijah Porter rush yds 29.5 Under· Rush Yds Under DeAree Rogers receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Chris Hunter III receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under La'Don Bryant receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Telly Johnson Jr. rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kedrick Reescano rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Noah Fifita rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Taron Dickens pass yds 204.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Noah Fifita pass yds 244.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Tre Spivey 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under DeAree Rogers 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Giovanni Richardson 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Giovanni Richardson 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under La'Don Bryant 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over La'Don Bryant 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under DeAree Rogers 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Noah Fifita pass yds 244.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Tre Spivey 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Kedrick Reescano rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Noah Fifita rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Taron Dickens pass yds 204.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Telly Johnson Jr. rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over La'Don Bryant receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Chris Hunter III receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Elijah Porter rush yds 29.5 Over· Rush Yds Over DeAree Rogers receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tre Spivey receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Giovanni Richardson receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Cam Thompson receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Northern Illinois Huskies team runs 13.5 Over· Team Points Arizona Wildcats team runs 32.5 Over· Team Points Arizona Wildcats Team pass yds 314.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Northern Illinois Huskies Team pass yds 224.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Arizona Wildcats Team rush yds 144.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Northern Illinois Huskies Team rush yds 69.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.