Old Dominion Monarchs at Georgia State Panthers — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 7:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Old Dominion Monarchs 3%
Georgia State Panthers 97%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 3-1 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 38.8 vs 22.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
38.8 vs 22.3
+4.0%p
Head to head Old Dominion Monarchs Georgia State Panthers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
TJ Johnson receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Josh Rodriguez receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Grant Hollier receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Georgia State Panthers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 38.8 vs 22.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 61.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 61.5 Over· Totals Over Old Dominion Monarchs Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 3-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Winning margin8 Georgia State Panthers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 38.8 vs 22.3 → expected margin 16.5 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
80% Georgia State Panthers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 38.8 vs 22.3 → expected margin 16.5 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
72% Georgia State Panthers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Georgia State Panthers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Old Dominion Monarchs within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Old Dominion Monarchs within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Old Dominion Monarchs within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Old Dominion Monarchs within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 TJ Johnson receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Josh Rodriguez receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Grant Hollier receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under DJ Riles 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under JJ Harrell receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Rodshaun Dorsey receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under DJ Riles receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Devin Roche rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Cameran Brown rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Rodshaun Dorsey 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Quinn Henicle rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Lanear McCrary Jr. rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Quinn Henicle pass yds 129.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Cameran Brown pass yds 174.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Josh Rodriguez 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under TJ Johnson 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over TJ Johnson 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Josh Rodriguez 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Cameran Brown pass yds 174.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Lanear McCrary Jr. rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Quinn Henicle pass yds 129.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Rodshaun Dorsey 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Quinn Henicle rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Cameran Brown rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Rodshaun Dorsey receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over DJ Riles receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Devin Roche rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Grant Hollier receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over DJ Riles 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over JJ Harrell receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Josh Rodriguez receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over TJ Johnson receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Georgia State Panthers team runs 38.5 Over· Team Points Old Dominion Monarchs team runs 22.5 Over· Team Points Georgia State Panthers Team pass yds 224.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Georgia State Panthers Team rush yds 239.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Old Dominion Monarchs Team rush yds 129.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Old Dominion Monarchs Team pass yds 154.5 Over· Team Pass Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.