Oregon State Beavers at UTEP Miners — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 27 (Sun) · 1:00 AM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Oregon State Beavers 80%
UTEP Miners 20%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-2 vs 1-3 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1078 vs 1337
+15.6%p Points per game
18.8 vs 32.3
+4.0%p
Head to head Oregon State Beavers UTEP Miners
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Eric Olsen receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaden Smith receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Carver Cheeks 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Oregon State Beavers Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 1-3 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 33/8 Hit
80% Both total runs 51.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 51.5 Over· Totals Over UTEP Miners Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1078 vs 1337 (50% blend)· Points per game 18.8 vs 32.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 7/34 Miss
20% Winning margin8 Oregon State Beavers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 32.3 vs 18.8 → expected margin 13.5 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
75% Oregon State Beavers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 32.3 vs 18.8 → expected margin 13.5 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
66% Oregon State Beavers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ UTEP Miners within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Oregon State Beavers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ UTEP Miners within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 UTEP Miners within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 UTEP Miners within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 Eric Olsen receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaden Smith receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Carver Cheeks 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Jesse Legree receiving yds 94.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Carver Cheeks receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaden Smith 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under AJ Newberry rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Aeryn Hampton receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kam Thomas receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tavorus Jones rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Cornell Hatcher Jr. rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under EJ Colson Jr. pass yds 154.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Raymond Moore III rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Braden Atkinson pass yds 269.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Aeryn Hampton 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Jesse Legree 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Jesse Legree 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Aeryn Hampton 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under EJ Colson Jr. pass yds 154.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Raymond Moore III rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Braden Atkinson pass yds 269.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Tavorus Jones rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Cornell Hatcher Jr. rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kam Thomas receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaden Smith 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over AJ Newberry rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Aeryn Hampton receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Carver Cheeks receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Carver Cheeks 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Jesse Legree receiving yds 94.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaden Smith receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Eric Olsen receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 UTEP Miners team runs 18.5 Over· Team Points Oregon State Beavers team runs 32.5 Over· Team Points UTEP Miners Team pass yds 134.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Oregon State Beavers Team pass yds 359.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Oregon State Beavers Team rush yds 104.5 Over· Team Rush Yds UTEP Miners Team rush yds 144.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.