Robert Morris Colonials at Buffalo Bulls — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 26 (Sat) · 7:30 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Robert Morris Colonials 49%
Buffalo Bulls 52%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 21.3 vs 23.8 (capped at ±4%p)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
21.3 vs 23.8
-2.5%p
Head to head Robert Morris Colonials Buffalo Bulls
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Chance Morrow receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Galen Combs receiving yds 69.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Messiah Burch rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Buffalo Bulls within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 2.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
81% Buffalo Bulls within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 2.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
72% Buffalo Bulls within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Buffalo Bulls within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Robert Morris Colonials wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Robert Morris Colonials wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Robert Morris Colonials wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Robert Morris Colonials wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Chance Morrow receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Galen Combs receiving yds 69.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Messiah Burch rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under James McNeil Jr. rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Keino Fitzpatrick II rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Noah Schaerli receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaqai Carter 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Jaylen Andrews receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Xavier Goulbourne rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jaqai Carter receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Galen Combs 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Dwayne Early Jr. receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Chance Morrow 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Carson Haggard pass yds 214.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Elijah Holmes pass yds 109.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jaylen Andrews 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Elijah Holmes pass yds 109.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jaylen Andrews 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Chance Morrow 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Carson Haggard pass yds 214.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Dwayne Early Jr. receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Galen Combs 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Jaylen Andrews receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Xavier Goulbourne rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jaqai Carter receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Messiah Burch rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over James McNeil Jr. rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Keino Fitzpatrick II rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Noah Schaerli receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaqai Carter 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Chance Morrow receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Galen Combs receiving yds 69.5 Over· Rec Yds Over games4 Buffalo Bulls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 21.3 vs 23.8 (capped at ±4%p)
runs 31/29 Hit
52% Both total runs 45.5 Under· Totals Under Robert Morris Colonials Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied
runs 28/32 Miss
49% Both total runs 45.5 Over· Totals Over Team stats6 Robert Morris Colonials team runs 23.5 Over· Team Points Buffalo Bulls team runs 21.5 Over· Team Points Buffalo Bulls Team pass yds 139.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Robert Morris Colonials Team pass yds 224.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Buffalo Bulls Team rush yds 174.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Robert Morris Colonials Team rush yds 119.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.