Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Auburn Tigers — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 13 (Sun) · 12:50 AM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Southern Miss Golden Eagles 3%
Auburn Tigers 97%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-0 vs 1-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1679 vs 1227 (50% blend)· Points per game 30.0 vs 24.5 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1679 vs 1227
+26.8%p Points per game
30.0 vs 24.5
+4.0%p
Head to head Southern Miss Golden Eagles Auburn Tigers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Keshaun Singleton receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Chas Nimrod 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Mario Sanders receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Auburn Tigers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-0 vs 1-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1679 vs 1227 (50% blend)· Points per game 30.0 vs 24.5 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 43/9 Hit
97% Both total runs 54.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 54.5 Under· Totals Under Southern Miss Golden Eagles Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-1 vs 2-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 8/44 Miss
3% Winning margin8 Southern Miss Golden Eagles within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 5.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
73% Southern Miss Golden Eagles within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 5.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
63% Auburn Tigers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Southern Miss Golden Eagles within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Southern Miss Golden Eagles within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Auburn Tigers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Auburn Tigers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Auburn Tigers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Keshaun Singleton receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Chas Nimrod 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Keshaun Singleton 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Mario Sanders receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under AJ Little 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under MJ Johnson receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Chas Nimrod receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jeremiah Koger receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaylen Foster rush yds 32.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jeremiah Cobb rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Landry Lyddy pass yds 169.5 Under· Pass Yds Under AJ Little receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Byrum Brown pass yds 179.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Steven Robinson rush yds 69.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Byrum Brown rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Mario Sanders 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Mario Sanders 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Byrum Brown rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Byrum Brown pass yds 179.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Steven Robinson rush yds 69.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jeremiah Cobb rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Landry Lyddy pass yds 169.5 Over· Pass Yds Over AJ Little receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jeremiah Koger receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaylen Foster rush yds 32.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chas Nimrod receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over MJ Johnson receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Keshaun Singleton receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Chas Nimrod 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Keshaun Singleton 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Mario Sanders receiving yds 64.5 Over· Rec Yds Over AJ Little 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Team stats6 Southern Miss Golden Eagles team runs 24.5 Over· Team Points Auburn Tigers team runs 30.5 Over· Team Points Auburn Tigers Team pass yds 204.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Southern Miss Golden Eagles Team pass yds 259.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Auburn Tigers Team rush yds 199.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Southern Miss Golden Eagles Team rush yds 164.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
