Stanford Cardinal at Wake Forest Demon Deacons — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 4:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Stanford Cardinal 14%
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 86%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 3-1 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 31.5 vs 21.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
31.5 vs 21.0
+4.0%p
Head to head Stanford Cardinal Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under 63%
Model probability
View model reasoning season 4games 134yds (per game 33.5)· sample 얇아 선별된 동일 카테고리 avg 쪽으로 adjusted → 38.9· opponent defense matchup ×1.12 → expected 43.5 basis log정규(shifts계수 0.62)
WR sample adjusted (games 수 적음) Sedrick Irvin rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Ty Clark III rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Wake Forest Demon Deacons Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 31.5 vs 21.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
86% Both total runs 52.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 52.5 Under· Totals Under Stanford Cardinal Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 3-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
14% Winning margin8 Wake Forest Demon Deacons wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 31.5 vs 21.0 → expected margin 10.5 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
68% Stanford Cardinal within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Wake Forest Demon Deacons wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Wake Forest Demon Deacons wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Stanford Cardinal within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Stanford Cardinal within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Wake Forest Demon Deacons wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Stanford Cardinal within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 AM Antonio Meeks receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Low
season 4games 134yds (per game 33.5)· sample 얇아 선별된 동일 카테고리 avg 쪽으로 adjusted → 38.9· opponent defense matchup ×1.12 → expected 43.5 basis log정규(shifts계수 0.62)
63% Sedrick Irvin rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Ty Clark III rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Benji Blackburn receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Micah Ford rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Caden High receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Carlos Hernandez receiving yds 94.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Caden High 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Jack Foley receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Zion Robinson receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Deuce Lawrence rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Benji Blackburn 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Gio Lopez pass yds 259.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Carlos Hernandez 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Kam Shanks 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Michael Mitchell Jr. pass yds 104.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Michael Mitchell Jr. pass yds 104.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Kam Shanks 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Gio Lopez pass yds 259.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Carlos Hernandez 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Deuce Lawrence rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Benji Blackburn 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Jack Foley receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Zion Robinson receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Carlos Hernandez receiving yds 94.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Caden High 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Micah Ford rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Caden High receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Ty Clark III rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Benji Blackburn receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Antonio Meeks receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Sedrick Irvin rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Team stats6 Wake Forest Demon Deacons team runs 31.5 Over· Team Points Stanford Cardinal team runs 21.5 Over· Team Points Stanford Cardinal Team pass yds 304.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Wake Forest Demon Deacons Team pass yds 314.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Wake Forest Demon Deacons Team rush yds 164.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Stanford Cardinal Team rush yds 109.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.