Stonehill Skyhawks at Ohio Bobcats — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 26 (Sat) · 7:30 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Stonehill Skyhawks 10%
Ohio Bobcats 89%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-2 vs 1-4 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 30.3 vs 16.6 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
30.3 vs 16.6
+4.0%p
Head to head Stonehill Skyhawks Ohio Bobcats
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Riley Neer 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Aidan Garrett rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Cole Clarke receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Ohio Bobcats Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 1-4 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 30.3 vs 16.6 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 35/8 Hit
89% Both total runs 46.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 46.5 Under· Totals Under Stonehill Skyhawks Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-4 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 7/36 Miss
10% Winning margin8 Ohio Bobcats wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 30.3 vs 16.6 → expected margin 13.7 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
77% Ohio Bobcats wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 30.3 vs 16.6 → expected margin 13.7 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
67% Ohio Bobcats wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Stonehill Skyhawks within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Ohio Bobcats wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Stonehill Skyhawks within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Stonehill Skyhawks within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Stonehill Skyhawks within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 Riley Neer 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Riley Neer receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Aidan Garrett rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Cole Clarke receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Dom Dorwart receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Preston Bowman receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaylin Baker receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Victor Rosa rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Shane Eason receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Matt Vezza rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jack O'Connell pass yds 189.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Cole Clarke 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Shane Eason rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Matt Vezza pass yds 124.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Dom Dorwart 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Dom Dorwart 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Jaylin Baker 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Jaylin Baker 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Matt Vezza pass yds 124.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Shane Eason rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Cole Clarke 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Matt Vezza rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jack O'Connell pass yds 189.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Victor Rosa rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Shane Eason receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Dom Dorwart receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Preston Bowman receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaylin Baker receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Cole Clarke receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Aidan Garrett rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Riley Neer receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Riley Neer 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Team stats6 Stonehill Skyhawks team runs 16.5 Over· Team Points Ohio Bobcats team runs 30.5 Over· Team Points Ohio Bobcats Team rush yds 209.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Stonehill Skyhawks Team pass yds 204.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Ohio Bobcats Team pass yds 159.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Stonehill Skyhawks Team rush yds 99.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.