Temple Owls at South Florida Bulls — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 11:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Temple Owls 3%
South Florida Bulls 97%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 4-0 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 30.0 vs 28.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
30.0 vs 28.0
+2.0%p
Head to head Temple Owls South Florida Bulls
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Joshua Porter receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jayce Freeman receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Samuel Brown V receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 South Florida Bulls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 4-0 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 30.0 vs 28.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 58.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 58.5 Over· Totals Over Temple Owls Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 4-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Winning margin8 Temple Owls within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 2.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
79% Temple Owls within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 2.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
71% Temple Owls within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Temple Owls within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 South Florida Bulls wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ South Florida Bulls wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ South Florida Bulls wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ South Florida Bulls wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Joshua Porter receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jayce Freeman receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Samuel Brown V receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Bryson Rodgers receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Arhmad Branch receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Keveun Mason rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jason Collins Jr. rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Samuel Brown V rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under D.J. Crowther rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Luke Kromenhoek pass yds 99.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Bryson Rodgers 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Ajani Sheppard pass yds 144.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Colin Chase receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Colin Chase 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Joshua Porter 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over JoJo Bermudez 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Joshua Porter 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under JoJo Bermudez 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Colin Chase 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Luke Kromenhoek pass yds 99.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Bryson Rodgers 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Ajani Sheppard pass yds 144.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Colin Chase receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over D.J. Crowther rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jason Collins Jr. rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Samuel Brown V rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Keveun Mason rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Bryson Rodgers receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Arhmad Branch receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Joshua Porter receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jayce Freeman receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Samuel Brown V receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 South Florida Bulls team runs 30.5 Over· Team Points Temple Owls team runs 28.5 Over· Team Points South Florida Bulls Team pass yds 184.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Temple Owls Team rush yds 229.5 Over· Team Rush Yds South Florida Bulls Team rush yds 194.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Temple Owls Team pass yds 149.5 Over· Team Pass Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.