Texas Southern Tigers at Florida Atlantic Owls — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 10:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Texas Southern Tigers 3%
Florida Atlantic Owls 97%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 3-1 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 30.0 vs 26.5 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
30.0 vs 26.5
+3.5%p
Head to head Texas Southern Tigers Florida Atlantic Owls
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Jaquan McGee receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Leonard Farrow rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Dominique Henry receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Florida Atlantic Owls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 1-3 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 30.0 vs 26.5 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 56.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 56.5 Under· Totals Under Texas Southern Tigers Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 3-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Winning margin8 Texas Southern Tigers within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 3.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
76% Texas Southern Tigers within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 3.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
68% Texas Southern Tigers within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Florida Atlantic Owls wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Texas Southern Tigers within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Florida Atlantic Owls wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Florida Atlantic Owls wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Florida Atlantic Owls wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Jaquan McGee receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Leonard Farrow rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Dominique Henry receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Roriyon Richardson receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Branden Hoch receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Roriyon Richardson 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Easton Messer receiving yds 69.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Athean Renfro Jr. rush yds 79.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Daveon Walker 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Ethan Ervin rush yds 69.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Daveon Walker receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Drew Devillier pass yds 99.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Cam'Ron McCoy rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Cam'Ron McCoy pass yds 194.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Dominique Henry 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Easton Messer 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Easton Messer 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Dominique Henry 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Cam'Ron McCoy pass yds 194.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Cam'Ron McCoy rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Drew Devillier pass yds 99.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Daveon Walker receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Ethan Ervin rush yds 69.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Easton Messer receiving yds 69.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Athean Renfro Jr. rush yds 79.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Daveon Walker 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Branden Hoch receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Roriyon Richardson 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Leonard Farrow rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dominique Henry receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Roriyon Richardson receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaquan McGee receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Texas Southern Tigers team runs 26.5 Over· Team Points Florida Atlantic Owls team runs 30.5 Over· Team Points Texas Southern Tigers Team pass yds 194.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Florida Atlantic Owls Team pass yds 314.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Florida Atlantic Owls Team rush yds 124.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Texas Southern Tigers Team rush yds 214.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.