Texas Tech Red Raiders at Colorado Buffaloes — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 11:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Texas Tech Red Raiders 97%
Colorado Buffaloes 3%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
21.5 vs 36.3
+4.0%p
Head to head Texas Tech Red Raiders Colorado Buffaloes
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
DeAndre Moore Jr. receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Coy Eakin receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Charlie Williams receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Texas Tech Red Raiders Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 57.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 57.5 Under· Totals Under Colorado Buffaloes Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 4-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 21.5 vs 36.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Winning margin8 Texas Tech Red Raiders wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 36.3 vs 21.5 → expected margin 14.8 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
77% Texas Tech Red Raiders wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 36.3 vs 21.5 → expected margin 14.8 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
68% Texas Tech Red Raiders wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Texas Tech Red Raiders wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Colorado Buffaloes within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Colorado Buffaloes within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Colorado Buffaloes within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Colorado Buffaloes within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 DeAndre Moore Jr. receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Coy Eakin receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Charlie Williams receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Coy Eakin 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under JaQuail Smith rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Quanell Farrakhan Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Kenny Johnson 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under DeAndre Moore Jr. 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Malcolm Simmons receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Quanell Farrakhan Jr. receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Quinten Joyner rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kenny Johnson receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Cameron Dickey rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Julian Lewis pass yds 204.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Micah Welch rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Will Hammond pass yds 224.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Will Hammond pass yds 224.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Julian Lewis pass yds 204.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Micah Welch rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Cameron Dickey rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Quanell Farrakhan Jr. receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Quinten Joyner rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kenny Johnson receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over DeAndre Moore Jr. 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Malcolm Simmons receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Quanell Farrakhan Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Kenny Johnson 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over JaQuail Smith rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Charlie Williams receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Coy Eakin 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over DeAndre Moore Jr. receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Coy Eakin receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Colorado Buffaloes team runs 21.5 Over· Team Points Texas Tech Red Raiders team runs 36.5 Over· Team Points Colorado Buffaloes Team pass yds 269.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Texas Tech Red Raiders Team rush yds 179.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Texas Tech Red Raiders Team pass yds 269.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Colorado Buffaloes Team rush yds 139.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.