UCLA Bruins at Maryland Terrapins — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 26 (Sat) · 5:30 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate UCLA Bruins 95%
Maryland Terrapins 4%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1316 vs 1660
+20.2%p Points per game
32.3 vs 44.8
+4.0%p
Head to head UCLA Bruins Maryland Terrapins
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Wayne Knight receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Brian Rowe Jr. receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 UCLA Bruins Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 54/4 Hit
95% Both total runs 77.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 77.5 Over· Totals Over Maryland Terrapins Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 4-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1316 vs 1660 (50% blend)· Points per game 32.3 vs 44.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 3/55 Miss
4% Winning margin8 UCLA Bruins wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 44.8 vs 32.3 → expected margin 12.5 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
72% UCLA Bruins wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 44.8 vs 32.3 → expected margin 12.5 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
63% UCLA Bruins wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Maryland Terrapins within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Maryland Terrapins within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 UCLA Bruins wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Maryland Terrapins within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Maryland Terrapins within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Wayne Knight receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Wayne Knight rush yds 84.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Brian Rowe Jr. receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kaleb Webb receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Semaj Morgan 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Nico Iamaleava rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Semaj Morgan receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Harry Dalton III rush yds 34.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chris Durr Jr. receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Nico Iamaleava pass yds 174.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Chris Durr Jr. 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Malik Washington pass yds 224.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Iverson Howard rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Brian Rowe Jr. 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Brian Rowe Jr. 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Malik Washington pass yds 224.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Iverson Howard rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chris Durr Jr. 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Nico Iamaleava pass yds 174.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Harry Dalton III rush yds 34.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chris Durr Jr. receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Nico Iamaleava rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Semaj Morgan receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kaleb Webb receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Semaj Morgan 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Wayne Knight rush yds 84.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Brian Rowe Jr. receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Wayne Knight receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 UCLA Bruins team runs 44.5 Over· Team Points Maryland Terrapins team runs 32.5 Over· Team Points Maryland Terrapins Team rush yds 129.5 Over· Team Rush Yds UCLA Bruins Team pass yds 179.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Maryland Terrapins Team pass yds 289.5 Over· Team Pass Yds UCLA Bruins Team rush yds 289.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.