UConn Huskies at Miami (OH) RedHawks — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 26 (Sat) · 7:30 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate UConn Huskies 62%
Miami (OH) RedHawks 38%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1267 vs 1470
+11.9%p Points per game
28.5 vs 34.8
+4.0%p
Head to head UConn Huskies Miami (OH) RedHawks
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Rodney Nelson rush yds 32.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Braylon Isom receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Lazaro Rogers rush yds 32.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Miami (OH) RedHawks within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 6.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
70% Miami (OH) RedHawks within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 6.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
61% UConn Huskies wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Miami (OH) RedHawks within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 UConn Huskies wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Miami (OH) RedHawks within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 UConn Huskies wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ UConn Huskies wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ games4 UConn Huskies Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 21/25 Miss
62% Both total runs 63.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 63.5 Under· Totals Under Miami (OH) RedHawks Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1267 vs 1470 (50% blend)· Points per game 28.5 vs 34.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 24/22 Hit
38% player stat32 Rodney Nelson rush yds 32.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Braylon Isom receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Lazaro Rogers rush yds 32.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Shamar Porter receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kenji Christian receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Shamar Porter 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Maleek Huggins receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Lynel Billups-Williams receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Lynel Billups-Williams 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Javon Brown receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kalieb Osborne rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Kalieb Osborne pass yds 224.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Cyncir Bowers rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under David McComb pass yds 259.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Javon Brown 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Scoop Smith 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Scoop Smith 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Javon Brown 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over David McComb pass yds 259.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Kalieb Osborne pass yds 224.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Cyncir Bowers rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kalieb Osborne rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Maleek Huggins receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Lynel Billups-Williams receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Lynel Billups-Williams 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Javon Brown receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Lazaro Rogers rush yds 32.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Shamar Porter receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kenji Christian receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Shamar Porter 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Rodney Nelson rush yds 32.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Braylon Isom receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 UConn Huskies team runs 34.5 Over· Team Points Miami (OH) RedHawks team runs 28.5 Over· Team Points Miami (OH) RedHawks Team rush yds 84.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Miami (OH) RedHawks Team pass yds 324.5 Over· Team Pass Yds UConn Huskies Team pass yds 269.5 Over· Team Pass Yds UConn Huskies Team rush yds 189.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.