UTSA Roadrunners at Rice Owls — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 11:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model UTSA Roadrunners 95%
Rice Owls 5%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 3-1 vs 1-3 — away adjustment applied· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
19.0 vs 35.3
+4.0%p
Head to head UTSA Roadrunners Rice Owls
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Jordan Clark receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Max Mosey receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Will Henderson III rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 UTSA Roadrunners Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 1-3 — away adjustment applied· stacking +3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
95% Both total runs 54.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 54.5 Under· Totals Under Rice Owls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-3 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 19.0 vs 35.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -3pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
5% Winning margin8 UTSA Roadrunners wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 35.3 vs 19.0 → expected margin 16.3 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
80% UTSA Roadrunners wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 35.3 vs 19.0 → expected margin 16.3 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
72% UTSA Roadrunners wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ UTSA Roadrunners wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Rice Owls within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Rice Owls within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Rice Owls within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Rice Owls within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 Jordan Clark receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jordan Clark 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Max Mosey receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Will Henderson III rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Mekhi Anderson receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Barry Jackson Jr. receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under DJ Allen Jr. receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under David Amador II receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jacurri Brown rush yds 84.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Brandon High Jr. rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under DJ Allen Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Mekhi Anderson 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Tyvonn Byars rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Owen McCown pass yds 174.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jacurri Brown pass yds 139.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Barry Jackson Jr. 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Barry Jackson Jr. 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Jacurri Brown pass yds 139.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Tyvonn Byars rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Owen McCown pass yds 174.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Mekhi Anderson 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Jacurri Brown rush yds 84.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Brandon High Jr. rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over DJ Allen Jr. 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Barry Jackson Jr. receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over DJ Allen Jr. receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over David Amador II receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Mekhi Anderson receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Max Mosey receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Will Henderson III rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jordan Clark receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jordan Clark 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Team stats6 UTSA Roadrunners team runs 35.5 Over· Team Points Rice Owls team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points Rice Owls Team pass yds 89.5 Over· Team Pass Yds UTSA Roadrunners Team pass yds 199.5 Over· Team Pass Yds UTSA Roadrunners Team rush yds 194.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Rice Owls Team rush yds 299.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.