Vanderbilt Commodores at Auburn Tigers — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 26 (Sat) · 8:15 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Vanderbilt Commodores 46%
Auburn Tigers 53%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 3-1 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1679 vs 1731 (50% blend)· Points per game 30.0 vs 28.3 (capped at ±4%p)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
30.0 vs 28.3
+1.7%p CFBD strength index
1679 vs 1731
+0.3%p
Head to head Vanderbilt Commodores Auburn Tigers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Keshaun Singleton receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jeremiah Koger receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Junior Sherrill receiving yds 74.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Vanderbilt Commodores within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 1.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
80% Vanderbilt Commodores within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 1.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
71% Vanderbilt Commodores within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Vanderbilt Commodores within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Auburn Tigers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Auburn Tigers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Auburn Tigers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Auburn Tigers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Keshaun Singleton receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jeremiah Koger receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Junior Sherrill receiving yds 74.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tristen Brown receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Chas Nimrod 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Keshaun Singleton 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Jeremiah Cobb rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chas Nimrod receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jayvontay Conner receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Byrum Brown rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Sedrick Alexander rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jared Curtis rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Byrum Brown pass yds 179.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jared Curtis pass yds 199.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jayvontay Conner 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Junior Sherrill 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Junior Sherrill 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Byrum Brown pass yds 179.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jared Curtis pass yds 199.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jayvontay Conner 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Jared Curtis rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Sedrick Alexander rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Byrum Brown rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jeremiah Cobb rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chas Nimrod receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jayvontay Conner receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Chas Nimrod 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Keshaun Singleton 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Keshaun Singleton receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jeremiah Koger receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Junior Sherrill receiving yds 74.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tristen Brown receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over games4 Auburn Tigers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1679 vs 1731 (50% blend)· Points per game 30.0 vs 28.3 (capped at ±4%p)
runs 21/16 Hit
53% Both total runs 58.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 58.5 Under· Totals Under Vanderbilt Commodores Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 3-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -1pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 15/22 Miss
46% Team stats6 Vanderbilt Commodores team runs 28.5 Over· Team Points Auburn Tigers team runs 30.5 Over· Team Points Auburn Tigers Team pass yds 204.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Vanderbilt Commodores Team pass yds 249.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Vanderbilt Commodores Team rush yds 144.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Auburn Tigers Team rush yds 179.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.