Vanderbilt Commodores at Georgia Bulldogs — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 4:45 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Vanderbilt Commodores 3%
Georgia Bulldogs 97%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 4-0 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 54.8 vs 28.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
54.8 vs 28.3
+4.0%p
Head to head Vanderbilt Commodores Georgia Bulldogs
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Dwight Phillips Jr. rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chauncey Bowens receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tristen Brown receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Georgia Bulldogs Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 4-0 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 54.8 vs 28.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 83.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 83.5 Over· Totals Over Vanderbilt Commodores Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 4-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Winning margin8 Georgia Bulldogs wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 54.8 vs 28.3 → expected margin 26.5 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
93% Georgia Bulldogs wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 54.8 vs 28.3 → expected margin 26.5 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
89% Georgia Bulldogs wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Georgia Bulldogs wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Vanderbilt Commodores within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Vanderbilt Commodores within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Vanderbilt Commodores within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Vanderbilt Commodores within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 Dwight Phillips Jr. rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chauncey Bowens receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tristen Brown receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jeremy Bell receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Junior Sherrill receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Craig Dandridge receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jayvontay Conner receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Chauncey Bowens 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Jared Curtis rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jared Curtis pass yds 164.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Nate Frazier rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Craig Dandridge 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Sedrick Alexander rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Junior Sherrill 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Ryan Puglisi pass yds 99.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jayvontay Conner 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Ryan Puglisi pass yds 99.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jayvontay Conner 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Junior Sherrill 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Nate Frazier rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Craig Dandridge 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Sedrick Alexander rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jared Curtis pass yds 164.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Chauncey Bowens 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Jared Curtis rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Craig Dandridge receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jayvontay Conner receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jeremy Bell receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Junior Sherrill receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Dwight Phillips Jr. rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chauncey Bowens receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tristen Brown receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Georgia Bulldogs team runs 54.5 Over· Team Points Vanderbilt Commodores team runs 28.5 Over· Team Points Georgia Bulldogs Team pass yds 224.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Vanderbilt Commodores Team rush yds 114.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Vanderbilt Commodores Team pass yds 204.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Georgia Bulldogs Team rush yds 224.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.