Virginia Tech Hokies at Boston College Eagles — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 26 (Sat) · 4:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Virginia Tech Hokies 97%
Boston College Eagles 3%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
19.8 vs 41.2
+4.0%p
Head to head Virginia Tech Hokies Boston College Eagles
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Mason McKenzie rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Javarius Green receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Luke Reynolds receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Virginia Tech Hokies Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 21/15 Hit
97% Both total runs 61.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 61.5 Over· Totals Over Boston College Eagles Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 4-0 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 19.8 vs 41.2 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 14/22 Miss
3% Winning margin8 Virginia Tech Hokies wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 41.2 vs 19.8 → expected margin 21.4 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
88% Virginia Tech Hokies wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 41.2 vs 19.8 → expected margin 21.4 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
82% Virginia Tech Hokies wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Virginia Tech Hokies wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Boston College Eagles within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Boston College Eagles within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Boston College Eagles within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Boston College Eagles within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 Mason McKenzie rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Javarius Green receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Javarius Green 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Luke Reynolds receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Que'Sean Brown receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Ayden Greene receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Luke Reynolds 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Dawson Pough receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Johnathan Montague Jr. receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Marcellous Hawkins Jr. rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Evan Dickens rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jeffrey Overton Jr. rush yds 79.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Evan Dickens 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Ethan Grunkemeyer pass yds 214.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Mason McKenzie pass yds 164.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Que'Sean Brown 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Que'Sean Brown 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Mason McKenzie pass yds 164.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Evan Dickens 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Ethan Grunkemeyer pass yds 214.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Evan Dickens rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jeffrey Overton Jr. rush yds 79.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Marcellous Hawkins Jr. rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dawson Pough receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Johnathan Montague Jr. receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Ayden Greene receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Luke Reynolds 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Mason McKenzie rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Javarius Green receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Javarius Green 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Luke Reynolds receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Que'Sean Brown receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Boston College Eagles team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points Virginia Tech Hokies team runs 41.5 Over· Team Points Boston College Eagles Team pass yds 164.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Virginia Tech Hokies Team pass yds 274.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Boston College Eagles Team rush yds 144.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Virginia Tech Hokies Team rush yds 174.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.