West Virginia Mountaineers at Iowa State Cyclones — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 4:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model West Virginia Mountaineers 80%
Iowa State Cyclones 20%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 3-1 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
30.8 vs 36.3
+4.0%p
Head to head West Virginia Mountaineers Iowa State Cyclones
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Aiden Flora receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under John Neider receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Dominic Overby receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 West Virginia Mountaineers Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 3-1 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
80% Both total runs 67.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 67.5 Over· Totals Over Iowa State Cyclones Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 3-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 30.8 vs 36.3 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
20% Winning margin8 Iowa State Cyclones within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 5.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
72% Iowa State Cyclones within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 5.5 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
63% West Virginia Mountaineers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Iowa State Cyclones within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Iowa State Cyclones within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 West Virginia Mountaineers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ West Virginia Mountaineers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ West Virginia Mountaineers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Aiden Flora receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under John Neider receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Aiden Flora rush yds 84.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Dominic Overby receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Michael Hawkins Jr. rush yds 79.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jaden Bray receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaylen Raynor rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Aiden Flora 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Cam Cook rush yds 89.5 Under· Rush Yds Under DJ Epps receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Omari Hayes receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Michael Hawkins Jr. pass yds 149.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jaden Bray 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Jaylen Raynor pass yds 189.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Omari Hayes 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under DJ Epps 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over DJ Epps 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Omari Hayes 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Jaylen Raynor pass yds 189.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jaden Bray 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Michael Hawkins Jr. pass yds 149.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Omari Hayes receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaylen Raynor rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Aiden Flora 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Cam Cook rush yds 89.5 Over· Rush Yds Over DJ Epps receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Aiden Flora rush yds 84.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dominic Overby receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Michael Hawkins Jr. rush yds 79.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jaden Bray receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Aiden Flora receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over John Neider receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Iowa State Cyclones team runs 30.5 Over· Team Points West Virginia Mountaineers team runs 36.5 Over· Team Points West Virginia Mountaineers Team pass yds 144.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Iowa State Cyclones Team pass yds 184.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Iowa State Cyclones Team rush yds 199.5 Over· Team Rush Yds West Virginia Mountaineers Team rush yds 289.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.