Western Michigan Broncos at Buffalo Bulls — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 5:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Western Michigan Broncos 49%
Buffalo Bulls 51%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 21.3 vs 24.0 (capped at ±4%p)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
21.3 vs 24.0
-2.7%p
Head to head Western Michigan Broncos Buffalo Bulls
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Chance Morrow receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Aveion Chenault receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Egypt Nelson receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Buffalo Bulls within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 2.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
81% Buffalo Bulls within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 2.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
72% Buffalo Bulls within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Buffalo Bulls within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Western Michigan Broncos wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Western Michigan Broncos wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Western Michigan Broncos wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Western Michigan Broncos wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Chance Morrow receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Aveion Chenault receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Egypt Nelson receiving yds 32.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Messiah Burch rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jaylen Andrews receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Baylin Brooks receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under James McNeil Jr. rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Dwayne Early Jr. receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Elijah Holmes pass yds 109.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jalen Buckley rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chance Morrow 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Jaylen Andrews 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Broc Lowry pass yds 174.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Lolo Mataele rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Aveion Chenault 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Baylin Brooks 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Baylin Brooks 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Aveion Chenault 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Broc Lowry pass yds 174.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Lolo Mataele rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jaylen Andrews 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Chance Morrow 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Elijah Holmes pass yds 109.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jalen Buckley rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dwayne Early Jr. receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over James McNeil Jr. rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Messiah Burch rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jaylen Andrews receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Baylin Brooks receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Aveion Chenault receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Egypt Nelson receiving yds 32.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Chance Morrow receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over games4 Buffalo Bulls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 21.3 vs 24.0 (capped at ±4%p)
51% Both total runs 45.5 Under· Totals Under Western Michigan Broncos Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 2-2 — away adjustment applied
49% Both total runs 45.5 Over· Totals Over Team stats6 Buffalo Bulls team runs 21.5 Over· Team Points Western Michigan Broncos team runs 24.5 Over· Team Points Buffalo Bulls Team pass yds 139.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Western Michigan Broncos Team rush yds 169.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Buffalo Bulls Team rush yds 174.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Western Michigan Broncos Team pass yds 164.5 Over· Team Pass Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.