Western Michigan Broncos at Rice Owls — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 19 (Sat) · 11:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Western Michigan Broncos 84%
Rice Owls 16%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-1 vs 1-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
CFBD strength index
1169 vs 1463
+17.7%p Points per game
19.0 vs 24.0
+4.0%p
Head to head Western Michigan Broncos Rice Owls
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Baylin Brooks 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Aveion Chenault receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Barry Jackson Jr. receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 Western Michigan Broncos Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-1 vs 1-2 — away adjustment applied· stacking +4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 28/22 Hit
84% Both total runs 43.5 Under· Totals Under Both total runs 43.5 Over· Totals Over Rice Owls Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-2 vs 2-1 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1169 vs 1463 (50% blend)· Points per game 19.0 vs 24.0 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking -4pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 21/29 Miss
16% Winning margin8 Rice Owls within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 5.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
76% Rice Owls within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 5.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
66% Rice Owls within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Western Michigan Broncos wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Rice Owls within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Western Michigan Broncos wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Western Michigan Broncos wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Western Michigan Broncos wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat32 Baylin Brooks 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Aveion Chenault receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Aveion Chenault 리셉션 3.5 Under· Receptions Under Barry Jackson Jr. receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Max Mosey receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jordan Clark receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Barry Jackson Jr. 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Baylin Brooks receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jacurri Brown rush yds 84.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jalen Buckley rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Egypt Nelson receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jacurri Brown pass yds 119.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Tyvonn Byars rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jordan Clark 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Lolo Mataele rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Broc Lowry pass yds 139.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Broc Lowry pass yds 139.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jordan Clark 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Lolo Mataele rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Tyvonn Byars rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jacurri Brown pass yds 119.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jalen Buckley rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Egypt Nelson receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jacurri Brown rush yds 84.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Barry Jackson Jr. 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Baylin Brooks receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jordan Clark receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Barry Jackson Jr. receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Max Mosey receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Aveion Chenault receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Aveion Chenault 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Baylin Brooks 리셉션 3.5 Over· Receptions Over Team stats6 Rice Owls team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points Western Michigan Broncos team runs 24.5 Over· Team Points Rice Owls Team pass yds 74.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Western Michigan Broncos Team rush yds 169.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Rice Owls Team rush yds 299.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Western Michigan Broncos Team pass yds 129.5 Over· Team Pass Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.