Wyoming Cowboys at Central Michigan Chippewas — Game center Final NCAA Football
Sep 19 (Sat) · 5:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Wyoming Cowboys 37%
Central Michigan Chippewas 63%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 2-1 vs 1-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1224 vs 1322 (50% blend)· Points per game 11.8 vs 17.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
11.8 vs 17.8
-4.0%p CFBD strength index
1224 vs 1322
-3.6%p
Head to head Wyoming Cowboys Central Michigan Chippewas
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Langston Lewis receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kyle Frendt receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jayden Clerveaux rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Central Michigan Chippewas within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 6.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
77% Central Michigan Chippewas within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 6.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
65% Wyoming Cowboys wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Central Michigan Chippewas within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Wyoming Cowboys wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Central Michigan Chippewas within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Wyoming Cowboys wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Wyoming Cowboys wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ games4 Central Michigan Chippewas Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-1 vs 1-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· CollegeFootballData strength index 1224 vs 1322 (50% blend)· Points per game 11.8 vs 17.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 24/11 Hit
63% Both total runs 29.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 29.5 Under· Totals Under Wyoming Cowboys Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 1-2 vs 2-1 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
runs 10/25 Miss
37% player stat32 Langston Lewis receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kyle Frendt receiving yds 39.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jayden Clerveaux rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Justin Ruffin Jr. receiving yds 24.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Vaughn Blue receiving yds 22.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Angel Flores rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Langston Lewis 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Eric Richardson receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Charlie Coenen receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Markell Holman rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Justin Ruffin Jr. 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Samuel Harris rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Tyler Hughes pass yds 164.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Samuel Harris 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Angel Flores pass yds 94.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Kyle Frendt 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Kyle Frendt 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Angel Flores pass yds 94.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Samuel Harris 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Tyler Hughes pass yds 164.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Justin Ruffin Jr. 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Samuel Harris rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Markell Holman rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Angel Flores rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Langston Lewis 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Eric Richardson receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Charlie Coenen receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jayden Clerveaux rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Justin Ruffin Jr. receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Vaughn Blue receiving yds 22.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Langston Lewis receiving yds 24.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kyle Frendt receiving yds 39.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Central Michigan Chippewas team runs 11.5 Over· Team Points Wyoming Cowboys team runs 17.5 Over· Team Points Central Michigan Chippewas Team pass yds 59.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Wyoming Cowboys Team pass yds 154.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Central Michigan Chippewas Team rush yds 189.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Wyoming Cowboys Team rush yds 179.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.