Wyoming Cowboys at North Dakota State Bison — Game center Scheduled NCAA Football
VS
Oct 3 (Sat) · 7:30 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Pregame model Wyoming Cowboys 3%
North Dakota State Bison 97%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 35.0 vs 17.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
What moved this probability
Points per game
35.0 vs 17.8
+4.0%p
Head to head Wyoming Cowboys North Dakota State Bison
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API + CollegeFootballData
Charlie Coenen receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kyle Frendt receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mekhi Collins receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
games4 North Dakota State Bison Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
season record 4-0 vs 2-2 — matchup combination win% model plus home-field advantage· Points per game 35.0 vs 17.8 (capped at ±4%p)· stacking +2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
97% Both total runs 52.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 52.5 Under· Totals Under Wyoming Cowboys Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
season record 2-2 vs 4-0 — away adjustment applied· stacking -2pp (meta-model over 1,782 past events)
3% Winning margin8 North Dakota State Bison wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Low
expected points 35.0 vs 17.8 → expected margin 17.2 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 4+
82% North Dakota State Bison wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Low
expected points 35.0 vs 17.8 → expected margin 17.2 pts; a normal approximation with a ~13-point margin SD gives the chance of winning by 8+
74% North Dakota State Bison wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ North Dakota State Bison wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ Wyoming Cowboys within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Wyoming Cowboys within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Wyoming Cowboys within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Wyoming Cowboys within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 player stat32 Charlie Coenen receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kyle Frendt receiving yds 37.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mekhi Collins receiving yds 34.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Samuel Harris rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jordan McCants receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Eric Richardson receiving yds 27.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Myles Mitchell rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Reis Kessel receiving yds 29.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Mekhi Collins 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under DJ Scott rush yds 59.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Tyler Hughes pass yds 154.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Nathan Hayes pass yds 169.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Kyle Frendt 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Markell Holman rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Reis Kessel 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Samuel Harris 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Samuel Harris 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Reis Kessel 리셉션 2.5 Under· Receptions Under Markell Holman rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kyle Frendt 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Nathan Hayes pass yds 169.5 Over· Pass Yds Over DJ Scott rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Tyler Hughes pass yds 154.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Reis Kessel receiving yds 29.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Mekhi Collins 리셉션 2.5 Over· Receptions Over Myles Mitchell rush yds 59.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jordan McCants receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Eric Richardson receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Samuel Harris rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Mekhi Collins receiving yds 34.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kyle Frendt receiving yds 37.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Charlie Coenen receiving yds 27.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Team stats6 Wyoming Cowboys team runs 17.5 Over· Team Points North Dakota State Bison team runs 35.5 Over· Team Points North Dakota State Bison Team pass yds 184.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Wyoming Cowboys Team pass yds 144.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Wyoming Cowboys Team rush yds 139.5 Over· Team Rush Yds North Dakota State Bison Team rush yds 179.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.