Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants — Game center Final NFL
Oct 4 (Sun) · 5:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Arizona Cardinals 42%
New York Giants 58%
Locked before start
Arizona Cardinals within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 83% Arizona Cardinals within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 74% Jameis Winston pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under 71% Showing 3 of 46 locked markets
Behind the probability 잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Arizona Cardinals New York Giants
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Jameis Winston pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Kendrick Bourne receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Isaiah Likely receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Arizona Cardinals within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 3.9 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
83% Arizona Cardinals within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 3.9 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
74% Arizona Cardinals within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Arizona Cardinals within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 New York Giants wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ New York Giants wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ New York Giants wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ New York Giants wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat57 Jameis Winston pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Kendrick Bourne receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Isaiah Likely receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Malik Nabers 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Jeremiyah Love rush yds 49.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Trey McBride receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Michael Wilson receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Cam Skattebo rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Najee Harris rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Malik Nabers receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Malachi Fields receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tyler Allgeier rush yds 34.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jameis Winston pass yds 209.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Isaiah Likely 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Jacoby Brissett pass yds 199.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Jacoby Brissett pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Cam Skattebo 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Michael Wilson 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Trey McBride 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Trey McBride 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Trey McBride 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Michael Wilson 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Jacoby Brissett pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Jacoby Brissett pass yds 199.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Isaiah Likely 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Jameis Winston pass yds 209.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Tyler Allgeier rush yds 34.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Najee Harris rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Malik Nabers receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Malachi Fields receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Cam Skattebo rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Michael Wilson receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Isaiah Likely receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Malik Nabers 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Jeremiyah Love rush yds 49.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Trey McBride receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Kendrick Bourne receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Bam Knight 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jeremiyah Love 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tyler Allgeier 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jameis Winston pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Michael Wilson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Patrick Ricard 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Najee Harris 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Isaiah Likely 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Theo Johnson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Marvin Harrison Jr. 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tyrone Tracy Jr. 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Odell Beckham Jr. 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Braxton Berrios 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jalen Brooks 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Malik Nabers 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Malachi Fields 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Hunter Long 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jameis Winston 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Elijah Higgins 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jacoby Brissett 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD games4 New York Giants Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 36/25 Hit
58% Both total runs 39.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 39.5 Under· Totals Under Arizona Cardinals Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 24/37 Miss
42% Team stats6 Arizona Cardinals team runs 20.5 Over· Team Points New York Giants team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points New York Giants Team pass yds 189.5 Over· Team Pass Yds New York Giants Team rush yds 109.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Arizona Cardinals Team pass yds 189.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Arizona Cardinals Team rush yds 94.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
