Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints — Game center Scheduled NFL
VS
Oct 6 (Tue) · 12:15 AM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Atlanta Falcons 36%
New Orleans Saints 64%
Behind the probability 잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Atlanta Falcons New Orleans Saints
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Michael Penix Jr. pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Cooper Rush pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Jack Strand pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 New Orleans Saints within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 0.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
86% New Orleans Saints within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 0.7 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
78% New Orleans Saints within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 New Orleans Saints within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Atlanta Falcons wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Atlanta Falcons wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Atlanta Falcons wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Atlanta Falcons wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat66 Michael Penix Jr. pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Cooper Rush pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Jack Strand pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Tyler Shough pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Devaughn Vele receiving yds 69.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Juwan Johnson receiving yds 69.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Chris Olave receiving yds 99.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Travis Etienne rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chris Olave 리셉션 8.5 Under· Receptions Under Juwan Johnson 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Bijan Robinson receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Austin Hooper receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Drake London receiving yds 69.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Drake London 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Michael Penix Jr. pass yds 264.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Bijan Robinson rush yds 89.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Alvin Kamara rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Tyler Shough pass yds 324.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Brian Robinson rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Bijan Robinson 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Bijan Robinson 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Bijan Robinson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Travis Etienne 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tyler Shough pass yds 324.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Brian Robinson rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Alvin Kamara rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Michael Penix Jr. pass yds 264.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Bijan Robinson rush yds 89.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Drake London receiving yds 69.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Drake London 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Chris Olave 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Travis Etienne rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chris Olave 리셉션 8.5 Over· Receptions Over Juwan Johnson 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Bijan Robinson receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Austin Hooper receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Chris Olave receiving yds 99.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Juwan Johnson receiving yds 69.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Devaughn Vele receiving yds 69.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Drake London 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kendre Miller 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tyler Shough pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Cooper Rush pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Jack Strand pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Noah Fant 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tyler Shough 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Michael Penix Jr. pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over CJ Donaldson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Devaughn Vele 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Juwan Johnson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kyle Pitts 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Barion Brown 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kevin Austin Jr. 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Chris Blair 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Zachariah Branch 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Oscar Delp 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Charlie Woerner 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Bryce Lance 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jack Strand 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Austin Hooper 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Cooper Rush 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Olamide Zaccheaus 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Brian Robinson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Michael Penix Jr. 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Alvin Kamara 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jahan Dotson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD games4 New Orleans Saints Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
64% Both total runs 40.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 40.5 Under· Totals Under Atlanta Falcons Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
36% Team stats6 Atlanta Falcons team runs 18.5 Over· Team Points New Orleans Saints team runs 22.5 Over· Team Points New Orleans Saints Team pass yds 339.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Atlanta Falcons Team rush yds 189.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Atlanta Falcons Team pass yds 174.5 Over· Team Pass Yds New Orleans Saints Team rush yds 89.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
Free forever. By subscribing you consent to receive the daily probability email; unsubscribe any time from the link in every email.Privacy notice
Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
