Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers — Game center Final NFL
Sep 27 (Sun) · 5:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Cincinnati Bengals 46%
Pittsburgh Steelers 53%
Locked before start
Mason Rudolph pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under 71% Joe Burrow pass TD 2.5 Under· Pass TDs Under 68% Mike Gesicki receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under 64% Showing 3 of 37 locked markets
Behind the probability 잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Cincinnati Bengals Pittsburgh Steelers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Mason Rudolph pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Joe Burrow pass TD 2.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Chase Brown 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Cincinnati Bengals within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 0.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
86% Cincinnati Bengals within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 0.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
78% Cincinnati Bengals within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Cincinnati Bengals within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Pittsburgh Steelers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Pittsburgh Steelers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Pittsburgh Steelers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Pittsburgh Steelers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat58 Mason Rudolph pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Joe Burrow pass TD 2.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Chase Brown 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Pat Freiermuth 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mike Gesicki 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mike Gesicki receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tee Higgins receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Chase Brown rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Ja'Marr Chase receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under DK Metcalf receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Ja'Marr Chase 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Jaylen Warren rush yds 54.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jaylen Warren receiving yds 49.5 Under· Rec Yds Under DK Metcalf 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Roman Wilson receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Ja'Marr Chase 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Samaje Perine rush yds 29.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Aaron Rodgers pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Aaron Rodgers pass yds 264.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Joe Burrow pass yds 219.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Tee Higgins 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Pat Freiermuth 리셉션 4.5 Under· Receptions Under Pat Freiermuth 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Tee Higgins 리셉션 4.5 Over· Receptions Over Aaron Rodgers pass yds 264.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Joe Burrow pass yds 219.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Aaron Rodgers pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Tee Higgins 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Samaje Perine rush yds 29.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Roman Wilson receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over DK Metcalf 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Jaylen Warren rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jaylen Warren receiving yds 49.5 Over· Rec Yds Over DK Metcalf receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Ja'Marr Chase 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Ja'Marr Chase receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Chase Brown rush yds 54.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Tee Higgins receiving yds 64.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Mike Gesicki receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaylen Warren 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Joe Burrow pass TD 2.5 Over· Pass TDs Over DK Metcalf 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Michael Pittman 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mason Rudolph pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Lew Nichols III 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Travis Homer 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Ben Skowronek 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Germie Bernard 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Robert Tonyan 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Erick All 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Dohnte Meyers 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Roman Wilson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tanner Hudson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Samaje Perine 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mason Rudolph 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Andrei Iosivas 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Drew Sample 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Darnell Washington 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD games4 Pittsburgh Steelers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 30/28 Hit
53% Both total runs 43.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 43.5 Under· Totals Under Cincinnati Bengals Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 27/31 Miss
46% Team stats6 Cincinnati Bengals team runs 24.5 Over· Team Points Pittsburgh Steelers team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points Pittsburgh Steelers Team pass yds 279.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Cincinnati Bengals Team pass yds 234.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Cincinnati Bengals Team rush yds 89.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Pittsburgh Steelers Team rush yds 84.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
