Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans — Game center Final NFL
Oct 4 (Sun) · 5:00 PM UTC
What did the model expect? Pregame forecast Dallas Cowboys 49%
Houston Texans 51%
Locked before start
Javonte Williams 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD 57% C.J. Stroud pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under 63% David Montgomery rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under 56% Showing 3 of 41 locked markets
Behind the probability 잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Dallas Cowboys Houston Texans
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
George Pickens receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under C.J. Stroud pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Dalton Schultz receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Houston Texans within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 1.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
84% Houston Texans within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 1.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
76% Houston Texans within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Houston Texans within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Dallas Cowboys wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Dallas Cowboys wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Dallas Cowboys wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Dallas Cowboys wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat59 George Pickens receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under C.J. Stroud pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Dalton Schultz receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Nico Collins receiving yds 74.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Jaylin Noel receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tyler Goodson rush yds 32.5 Under· Rush Yds Under CeeDee Lamb receiving yds 99.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Ryan Flournoy receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Nico Collins 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Javonte Williams rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Woody Marks rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Javonte Williams 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Dak Prescott pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over David Montgomery rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under George Pickens 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under C.J. Stroud pass yds 274.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Dak Prescott pass yds 274.5 Under· Pass Yds Under CeeDee Lamb 리셉션 7.5 Over· Receptions Over Dalton Schultz 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Dalton Schultz 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under David Montgomery 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD CeeDee Lamb 리셉션 7.5 Under· Receptions Under C.J. Stroud pass yds 274.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Dak Prescott pass yds 274.5 Over· Pass Yds Over George Pickens 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Jake Ferguson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD David Montgomery rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dak Prescott pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Woody Marks rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Nico Collins 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Javonte Williams rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Nico Collins 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Tyler Goodson rush yds 32.5 Over· Rush Yds Over CeeDee Lamb receiving yds 99.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Ryan Flournoy receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Nico Collins receiving yds 74.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Jaylin Noel receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over CeeDee Lamb 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Dalton Schultz receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over C.J. Stroud pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over George Pickens receiving yds 64.5 Over· Rec Yds Over George Pickens 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kayshon Boutte 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tyler Goodson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Woody Marks 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Ryan Flournoy 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Lewis Bond 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jonathan Mingo 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Brevin Jordan 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jared Wayne 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Cade Stover 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Foster Moreau 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Xavier Hutchinson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Dalton Schultz 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jaylin Noel 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD KaVontae Turpin 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Dak Prescott 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Brevyn Spann-Ford 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Hunter Luepke 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD games4 Both total runs 44.5 Under· Totals Under Houston Texans Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 30/35 Miss
51% Dallas Cowboys Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 34/31 Hit
49% Both total runs 44.5 Over· Totals Over Team stats6 Houston Texans team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points Dallas Cowboys team runs 25.5 Over· Team Points Houston Texans Team pass yds 309.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Dallas Cowboys Team pass yds 299.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Dallas Cowboys Team rush yds 79.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Houston Texans Team rush yds 89.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
