Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans — Game center Scheduled NFL
VS
Oct 4 (Sun) · 5:00 PM UTC
Who has the advantage? Locked at publish Dallas Cowboys 49%
Houston Texans 51%
Behind the probability 잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Dallas Cowboys Houston Texans
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
C.J. Stroud pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under CeeDee Lamb receiving yds 79.5 Under· Rec Yds Under George Pickens receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Dallas Cowboys within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 0.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
85% Dallas Cowboys within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 0.3 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
77% Dallas Cowboys within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Dallas Cowboys within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Houston Texans wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Houston Texans wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Houston Texans wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Houston Texans wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat61 C.J. Stroud pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under CeeDee Lamb receiving yds 79.5 Under· Rec Yds Under George Pickens receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Nico Collins receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tyler Goodson rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jake Ferguson receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Xavier Hutchinson receiving yds 44.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Javonte Williams rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under CeeDee Lamb 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Nico Collins 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Dalton Schultz receiving yds 54.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Javonte Williams 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Woody Marks rush yds 39.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Dak Prescott pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over David Montgomery rush yds 44.5 Under· Rush Yds Under George Pickens 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Dak Prescott pass yds 249.5 Under· Pass Yds Under C.J. Stroud pass yds 224.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Dalton Schultz 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Dalton Schultz 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under David Montgomery 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD C.J. Stroud pass yds 224.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Dak Prescott pass yds 249.5 Over· Pass Yds Over George Pickens 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Jake Ferguson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD David Montgomery rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Woody Marks rush yds 39.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Dak Prescott pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Dalton Schultz receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Nico Collins 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Xavier Hutchinson receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Nico Collins 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Javonte Williams rush yds 44.5 Over· Rush Yds Over CeeDee Lamb 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Nico Collins receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tyler Goodson rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jake Ferguson receiving yds 44.5 Over· Rec Yds Over George Pickens receiving yds 54.5 Over· Rec Yds Over CeeDee Lamb 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD CeeDee Lamb receiving yds 79.5 Over· Rec Yds Over C.J. Stroud pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over George Pickens 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kayshon Boutte 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tyler Goodson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Woody Marks 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Ryan Flournoy 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Lewis Bond 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jonathan Mingo 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Cade Stover 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Marlin Klein 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jared Wayne 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Foster Moreau 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Xavier Hutchinson 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Dalton Schultz 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jaylin Noel 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD KaVontae Turpin 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Dak Prescott 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Brevyn Spann-Ford 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Emari Demercado 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Hunter Luepke 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD C.J. Stroud 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD games4 Houston Texans Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
51% Both total runs 43.5 Over· Totals Over Both total runs 43.5 Under· Totals Under Dallas Cowboys Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
49% Team stats6 Dallas Cowboys team runs 24.5 Over· Team Points Houston Texans team runs 19.5 Over· Team Points Houston Texans Team pass yds 244.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Dallas Cowboys Team pass yds 259.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Houston Texans Team rush yds 94.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Dallas Cowboys Team rush yds 84.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
