Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers — Game center Final NFL
Oct 5 (Mon) · 12:20 AM UTC
What did the model expect? Unverified model estimate Detroit Lions 50%
Carolina Panthers 50%
Missed No pick was locked before this game started, so the current numbers are not graded as a record.
Behind the probability 잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
How to read this probability A probability estimates how often an outcome would occur in comparable situations. It is not a guarantee. Live estimates and pregame forecasts are shown separately.
Head to head Detroit Lions Carolina Panthers
Additional team comparison data is not available for this game yet.
Data source: ESPN API
Jahmyr Gibbs 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jared Goff pass TD 2.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Brycen Tremayne receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Explore the models All Players Game
Winning margin8 Detroit Lions within 15 pts· Spread +14.5 Low
expected margin 0.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 15 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
84% Detroit Lions within 11 pts· Spread +10.5 Low
expected margin 0.0 pts; chance the underdog stays within 11 pts or wins (complement of the same normal approximation)
77% Detroit Lions within 8 pts· Spread +7.5 Detroit Lions within 4 pts· Spread +3.5 Carolina Panthers wins by 4+· Wins by 4+ Carolina Panthers wins by 8+· Wins by 8+ Carolina Panthers wins by 11+· Wins by 11+ Carolina Panthers wins by 15+· Wins by 15+ player stat54 Jahmyr Gibbs 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jared Goff pass TD 2.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Brycen Tremayne receiving yds 64.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Amon-Ra St. Brown receiving yds 69.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Kenny Pickett pass TD 0.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Jameson Williams receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Sam LaPorta receiving yds 59.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Tetairoa McMillan receiving yds 84.5 Under· Rec Yds Under Sione Vaki rush yds 32.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Chuba Hubbard rush yds 64.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jonathon Brooks rush yds 37.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Jahmyr Gibbs rush yds 74.5 Under· Rush Yds Under Amon-Ra St. Brown 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Bryce Young pass yds 304.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Tetairoa McMillan 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Jared Goff pass yds 274.5 Under· Pass Yds Under Sam LaPorta 리셉션 5.5 Under· Receptions Under Amon-Ra St. Brown 리셉션 6.5 Under· Receptions Under Bryce Young pass TD 1.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Darren Waller 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Bryce Young pass TD 1.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Amon-Ra St. Brown 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Tetairoa McMillan 리셉션 6.5 Over· Receptions Over Chuba Hubbard 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jared Goff pass yds 274.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Sam LaPorta 리셉션 5.5 Over· Receptions Over Bryce Young pass yds 304.5 Over· Pass Yds Over Jahmyr Gibbs rush yds 74.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Chuba Hubbard rush yds 64.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Jonathon Brooks rush yds 37.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Tetairoa McMillan receiving yds 84.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Sione Vaki rush yds 32.5 Over· Rush Yds Over Kenny Pickett pass TD 0.5 Under· Pass TDs Under Jameson Williams receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Sam LaPorta receiving yds 59.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Brycen Tremayne receiving yds 64.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Amon-Ra St. Brown receiving yds 69.5 Over· Rec Yds Over Tetairoa McMillan 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jared Goff pass TD 2.5 Over· Pass TDs Over Sam LaPorta 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jonathon Brooks 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Isaac TeSlaa 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jameson Williams 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD John Metchie III 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD AJ Dillon 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Sione Vaki 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD David Moore 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Ja'Seem Reed 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Jackson Meeks 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Bryce Young 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Brock Wright 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Kenny Pickett 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Mitchell Evans 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD Tommy Tremble 터치다운 1x or more· Anytime TD games4 Both total runs 50.5 Under· Totals Under Carolina Panthers Home Win· Home Team · Win Probability Low
잠정 NFL model: record 가상 8games 0.500 쪽에 adjusted하고, runs 신호는 games수/(games수+8) 만큼만 applied한다. QB adjusted past strength index 50% blend. 2자 approximation draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Provisional NFL model: record regularized toward 0.500 with 8 prior games; scoring signal weighted by games/(games+8). 50% QB-adjusted historical strength index blend. Two-way approximation; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 32/27 Hit
50% Detroit Lions Away Win· Away Team · Win Probability Low
same 잠정 Home Win model 여집합이며, draw 따로 model링하지 않는다. (Complement of the same provisional home-win model; ties not separately modelled.)
runs 26/33 Miss
50% Both total runs 50.5 Over· Totals Over Team stats6 Detroit Lions team runs 25.5 Over· Team Points Carolina Panthers team runs 24.5 Over· Team Points Carolina Panthers Team pass yds 354.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Detroit Lions Team pass yds 314.5 Over· Team Pass Yds Detroit Lions Team rush yds 114.5 Over· Team Rush Yds Carolina Panthers Team rush yds 109.5 Over· Team Rush Yds strength index + simulation adjusted probabilities and full history are in Pro — $7.99/mo, cancel anytime. Get today's probabilities in your inbox One email per day. No picks, no spam.
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Computed only from public stats APIs and statistical models. No odds, lines, or sportsbooks. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
